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Bullish Q2 financial report: Net loss of 280 million USD, digital asset trading volume of 32.6 billion USD

According to GlobeNewswire, the cryptocurrency asset trading platform Bullish announced its financial performance for the second quarter of 2026. The company stated that as the global securities market gradually migrates to public chains, Bullish is planning to build a complete issuer-supported tokenized securities service system around issuance, listing, trading, and tracking.Bullish CEO Tom Farley stated that the global securities market, which is nearly $300 trillion in scale, is turning to public blockchains, and Bullish hopes to collaborate with issuers to drive this process. Once the proposed acquisition of Equiniti is completed, the company will form an integrated platform covering securities token issuance, listing, trading, and tracking.Financial data shows that Bullish's digital asset sales in the second quarter amounted to $32.6 billion, down from $58.6 billion in the same period last year; the net loss was $280 million, compared to a net profit of $108.3 million in the same period last year, corresponding to a diluted loss per share of $1.78.However, the company's core business performance has improved. Adjusted revenue (non-IFRS) for the second quarter reached $92.6 million, a year-on-year increase of 62%, higher than $57 million in the same period last year; among them, subscription, service, and other revenues reached a record $62.7 million. Adjusted trading revenue was $29.9 million, a year-on-year increase of 24%; adjusted EBITDA was $29.5 million, compared to $8.1 million in the same period last year; adjusted net profit was $14.3 million, compared to a loss of $6 million in the same period last year.In terms of business progress, Bullish stated that the acquisition of the UK fintech company Equiniti is progressing and is expected to be completed in early 2027, still subject to regulatory approvals and other customary conditions. In addition, Bullish's CoinDesk Index continues to gain institutional adoption. Morgan Stanley launched Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana-related trading products based on the CoinDesk benchmark index, attracting over $400 million in inflows in the second quarter.In terms of regulation, Bullish has obtained approval from the Gibraltar Financial Services Commission (GFSC) to provide secondary trading services for tokenized securities, becoming one of the first regulated platforms to offer issuer-supported tokenized securities trading.The company has also raised and refined its full-year guidance for 2026, expecting subscription, service, and other revenues (non-IFRS) to be between $225 million and $245 million, adjusted operating expenses to be between $225 million and $230 million, and financing costs to be expected between $52 million and $60 million.

Analyst: The Bitcoin bull market may have started, with multiple technical indicators signaling a bottom

Cryptocurrency analyst Ai posted on the X platform that multiple technical indicators at the monthly level for Bitcoin are releasing bullish signals, suggesting that the current market may have formed a macro bottom. Data shows that the TD Sequential indicator triggered a buy signal on the Bitcoin monthly chart last month. This indicator previously successfully identified the bottom of the bear market in 2022 and is now showing a similar signal again. Additionally, Bitcoin's current price is close to the 50-month simple moving average (SMA). Historical data indicates that since 2014, this long-term moving average has repeatedly become an important support area for Bitcoin and corresponds with multiple market bottoms.Meanwhile, the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) has fallen back to around -71. The last time this indicator reached a similar level was in June of this year, when Bitcoin's price briefly dropped to $57,000. Historically, extreme low levels of CMO often coincide with market bottom areas. Analysts believe that Bitcoin may still oscillate in the range of $60,000 to $67,000 in the short term, but the TD Sequential buy signal, 50-month moving average support, and CMO oversold condition together indicate that a long-term cycle bottom may have formed. The market will focus on whether subsequent prices can break through the oscillation range to confirm a new upward trend.

Arthur Hayes: The burst of the AI bubble will trigger "super printing," driving Bitcoin back into a bull market

Arthur Hayes published a new article titled "Situationship," suggesting that the AI bubble may eventually burst, but its subsequent impact could drive global liquidity expansion and become a catalyst for the next Bitcoin bull market. Hayes believes that the key to determining whether AI is a bubble lies in how investors define AI infrastructure construction. He points out that the market generally views the trillions of dollars in AI capital expenditure as "technology investment" and assigns high growth valuations, but its essence is closer to "real estate investment."He states that the current AI infrastructure construction is actually about building data centers, power facilities, and other underlying assets that support computing power, rather than directly investing in technology companies like Apple. "Financial institutions, private credit funds, and governments may mistakenly believe that investing in AI data centers is equivalent to investing in tech giants, while in reality, it is more akin to investing in highly leveraged infrastructure projects." Hayes believes that the core reason for the AI bubble's burst is not that corporate profits cannot be realized, but rather excessive credit expansion. He indicates that, supported by the U.S. and Chinese governments, financial intermediaries may overbuild data centers, power facilities, and related supply chains, ultimately creating credit cycle risks similar to those of the 2008 financial crisis, rather than a profit valuation crisis like that of the 2000 internet bubble.However, Hayes believes that the long-term value of AI remains immense. He points out that the computing resources operating within data centers will drive the development of "silicon-based life," having a profound impact on human civilization similar to that of the railroad era. Regarding market impact, Hayes expects that after the AI bubble bursts, governments and central banks may adopt more aggressive monetary easing measures, repairing the financial system through "massive money printing," pushing risk assets back into an upward cycle, and ultimately benefiting Bitcoin. Hayes states that the core variable of the current AI cycle is whether the capital market has mispriced AI infrastructure, and this judgment will determine the future direction of the market.

Data: $63,000 has become the current battleground for Bitcoin bulls and bears, as well as an important market support level

According to Glassnode data, around $63,000 is becoming an important support and battle zone for Bitcoin (BTC) in the current market. Bitcoin has been oscillating between $60,000 and $67,000 in recent weeks, with over 3% of the circulating supply of BTC, approximately 515,000 BTC, having a cost basis concentrated around $63,000; additionally, over 362,000 BTC is concentrated in the $61,000 region.Glassnode points out that currently, only the supply density in the $78,000 to $82,000 range is higher than this area, which corresponds to Bitcoin's peak in May. Furthermore, the current price of Bitcoin nearly coincides with the 200-week moving average. Glassnode data shows that the 200-week moving average is currently around $63,657, while the BTC price is about $63,822, indicating a significant historical accumulation and strong cost support in this area.From the 30-day Accumulation Trend Score, all types of investors are currently in a net accumulation state, with retail buying pressure being the most evident; at the same time, whale addresses holding over 1,000 BTC are also continuously increasing their positions, indicating that long-term capital is still being deployed. The $63,000 area has become a key price zone in Bitcoin's short-term market structure, and investor accumulation behavior may provide important references for subsequent trends.

Analysis: The profit supply ratio of Bitcoin is approaching 60%, but it is still too early to confirm a bull market

The overall profitability status of the Bitcoin market is improving, but on-chain data shows that it is still insufficient to confirm that a new bull market has begun, and there remains a risk of another decline. CryptoQuant data shows that the Bitcoin Supply in Profit has risen to 57.5%. This indicator represents the proportion of BTC supply in the current market where the price is above the holding cost, which has significantly rebounded from the low of 46.2% on June 30, 2026, and is currently close to 60%.However, the recovery of the profitable supply ratio still requires continuous verification. Historical cycles show that the true end of a bear market usually requires two conditions to be met simultaneously: first, the 30-day simple moving average of the Long-Term Holder Profit and Loss Ratio (LTH-SOPR) must remain above 1 for an extended period without falling below it; second, the Bitcoin Supply in Profit must stabilize above 64%. Analysts indicate that this cycle has previously experienced a "false breakout." From April 28 to June 1 of this year, the average LTH-SOPR was above 1 for 35 consecutive days, while the profitable supply ratio once rose to 67%, but the market subsequently declined again. Currently, the Long-Term Holder 30-day SMA indicator has been below 1 for over 50 consecutive days, which remains an important risk signal for assessing the strength of market recovery. Although the BTC profitable supply ratio is improving, the market needs further confirmation of the behavior of long-term holders and changes in the profit structure to determine whether the current rebound truly marks the beginning of a new upward cycle.

Bitwise CIO: The crypto market shows signs of bottoming out, with the next bull market driven by the integration of on-chain and traditional finance

Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan published an analysis, stating that the crypto market is showing signs of a bottom ------ since July 1, Bitcoin has risen by 9% while the Nasdaq has fallen by 6%, ETF fund flows have turned positive, and market sentiment has improved. Hougan believes that the next bull market will be driven by the integration of on-chain finance and traditional finance, with the core sectors being stablecoins, tokenization, 24/7 trading, instant settlement, and institutional DeFi.He suggests focusing on two types of opportunities: one type is crypto-native applications represented by Hyperliquid (HYPE) ------ which have real revenue and a strong token economic model (99% of revenue is used for buybacks and burns of HYPE), which has risen 146% this year; the other type is traditional financial institutions represented by Robinhood (HOOD) ------ whose Layer2 blockchain Robinhood Chain attracted over $300 million in deposits within two weeks of launch, processing an average of 3.6 million transactions daily, supporting 24/7 trading of tokenized stocks for users in 120 countries. Hougan is optimistic about mainstream assets such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana, as well as crypto stocks, while also paying attention to institutions like Coinbase, Figure, BlackRock, Visa, Stripe, and JPMorgan that are scaling up in the crypto space.
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