bond

The Asian bond market is expected to follow the decline of U.S. Treasuries, as the U.S.-Iran standoff keeps oil prices high, exacerbating inflation concerns and increasing market bets on further interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.New Zealand government bonds opened lower, and Australian government bond futures may decline. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield briefly rose by 11 basis points to 5.27%, reaching a new high in 19 years; the 30-year yield rose to 5.55%. Morgan Stanley analyst Chris Larkin stated that the market's focus may still be on interest rates and energy prices.

The yield on the U.S. two-year Treasury note reached 4.952%, the highest level since May 2024.

On September 28, according to Gate market data, the yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury rose to 5.234%, the highest level since mid-2007. The yield on the 30-year Treasury rose to 5.542%, the highest level since 2004.This indicates that the market's pricing of long-term risks has significantly increased, with heightened concerns about inflation stickiness, the Federal Reserve maintaining high interest rates, and the sustainability of massive fiscal deficits and debt. The long-term borrowing costs for governments, businesses, and consumers are pushed higher, which typically suppresses stock market valuations and tightens global financial conditions, potentially restraining economic growth.

According to informed sources, the Trump administration is considering launching an overseas stablecoin program, which may take the form of a joint venture with private enterprises. The Department of the Treasury, the State Department, and the U.S. International Development Finance Corporation (DFC) may all participate to expand the use of the U.S. dollar and support demand for U.S. Treasury bonds.Tether's latest reserve report shows that as of June 30, it directly holds $11.496 billion in U.S. Treasury bonds, with total reserve assets of $18.775 billion, exceeding liabilities by $4.11 billion. The plan has not yet established a partnership with Tether and has not yet become an officially operational project.

The MOVE index, which measures the volatility of U.S. Treasury bonds, has risen approximately 29.69% this week, marking the largest increase since April of last year, as bond yields reached multi-decade highs. Market volatility is intense, and many traders have chosen to wait and see.The head of interest rate strategy at Société Générale expressed a neutral view on U.S. interest rates, waiting to trade until volatility decreases.

According to CoinDesk, the volatility in the U.S. Treasury market has significantly increased recently, while Bitcoin and the U.S. stock market remain calm. The MOVE index, which measures expected volatility in U.S. Treasuries, rose from about 80 on Tuesday to 104 on Thursday, the highest level since March; at that time, the index reached as high as 199.In contrast, the Volmex 30-day Bitcoin implied volatility index (BVIV) is currently around 37, close to the year-to-date low of 35; the Cboe VIX, which measures expected volatility in the S&P 500, is near the year-to-date low of 14.Meanwhile, the yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond briefly hit 5.2% on Thursday before falling back to 5.163%. Data shows that the correlation coefficient between VIX and MOVE over the past 20 trading days has dropped to -0.06, marking the first negative correlation since April 2024; the correlation coefficient between BVIV and MOVE is -0.37, at a relatively low level in recent years.Analysts point out that as an important foundation of the global financial and credit system, an increase in U.S. Treasury volatility usually indicates a tightening financial environment, but currently, BTC and the U.S. stock market have not reflected the same level of volatility risk as the bond market.

The yield on the 7-year U.S. Treasury bond continues to rise after the 7-year Treasury auction, currently up 1.37 basis points, reported at 5.067%.

According to Gate market data, the yield on the 30-year U.S. Treasury bond rose to 5.4583%, reaching a new high in 22 years; the yield on the two-year U.S. Treasury bond increased by 0.85 basis points, reporting at 4.904%.

The bond sell-off in the Eurozone has re-emerged, pushing yields to multi-year highs. Rising oil prices and strong economic data have reinforced market expectations for the European Central Bank to further tighten monetary policy. The yield on Germany's 10-year government bonds rose to 3.575%, marking a new high in over 17 years. Brent crude oil prices have returned above $106 per barrel.

Patrick Munnelly of Tickmill Group stated that investors have raised their expectations for central bank interest rate hikes in the coming months, pushing the average yield on global government bonds to nearly 4%.LSEG data shows that investors expect the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Bank of Japan, and Bank of England to each raise interest rates three times or more within the next year.

The yield on Japan's 10-year government bonds rose by 10 basis points to 3.075%, the highest level since 1996. The yield curve increased across all maturities, with the 5-year yield rising by 9.5 basis points to 2.37%.The sell-off of U.S. Treasuries intensified, driven by strong economic data and weak demand at Treasury auctions, pushing U.S. bond yields to near twenty-year highs. Rising oil prices have heightened inflation concerns, reinforcing expectations for interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.

According to informed sources, the Hong Kong government plans to raise HKD 15 billion to 20 billion (USD 1.9 billion to 2.6 billion) by issuing multi-currency digital green bonds, which will be the largest transaction of its kind globally.The sources said that these bonds will be denominated in US dollars, Hong Kong dollars, euros, and offshore renminbi, with pricing potentially as early as next Monday. Due to the involvement of undisclosed information, the sources requested anonymity. The Hong Kong government has commissioned several banks to arrange a series of fixed income investor meetings this week.

U.S. Treasury bonds continued to decline after the strong S&P Global U.S. PMI indicator was released.

SoftBank Group has launched a transaction that could become the largest corporate junk bond issuance in history, aimed at funding large-scale investments in the field of artificial intelligence. This issuance plans to raise over $11 billion, including $10 billion in dollar-denominated bonds and €1 billion (approximately $1.1 billion) in euro-denominated bonds, to support a commitment of nearly $65 billion to OpenAI and additional merger and acquisition financing.

Bitcoin Magazine released a video interview where Jim Bianco, founder of Bianco Research, stated that the bond market signaled over two years ago before the Federal Reserve's first interest rate hike in more than three years. He pointed out that during the previous rate-cutting cycle of the Federal Reserve, the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury rose from 3.7% to 5%, marking the first time in over 50 years that the long-end yield increased while the Federal Reserve was cutting rates.In his discussion with Grace Remington and Sean Hagan, Bianco also mentioned that the Federal Reserve's decision on October 28 (one week before the midterm elections) is more significant than Wall Street expects. He refuted the "devaluation trade" narrative and discussed what Bitcoin needs to demonstrate, including development activity and the DeFi summer. He believes that the construction of Bitcoin ETFs has missed the point and stated that Tether has effectively become a circulating currency in Venezuela and Afghanistan.Additionally, Bianco talked about stablecoins and the GENIUS Act, real demand for government bonds, and the post-pandemic economy, while criticizing Federal Reserve Chairman Powell. He noted the existence of multiple wars and "safe haven" logic and referenced the "Fourth Turning" theory to analyze the current macro cycle.

Bitcoin News posted on the X platform that Bloomberg senior commodity strategist Mike McGlone stated that U.S. Treasury bonds with a 5% yield now have the value to sell Bitcoin for allocation.

Iran signals a possible reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, pushing oil prices down, while Eurozone bond yields fell for the second consecutive day, reaching their lowest level in nearly two weeks.Germany's 10-year government bond yield rose 4 basis points at the start before falling back 1 basis point, reported at 3.441%. Traders expect the European Central Bank to tighten policy by about 35 basis points this year.

Korean Air Bank issued a 100 million USD foreign currency digital bond with a term of 5 years, directly utilizing the digital financial market infrastructure of Euroclear. This is the first digital bond in Korea issued directly using Euroclear's blockchain infrastructure.The issuance, registration, and settlement of the bond are all processed on a distributed ledger network, shortening the bond allocation and payment settlement from 3 to 5 working days to the same day. Investors can trade the bond through the Euroclear global settlement network using their existing accounts and trading systems.

According to BBX data, last weekend, global publicly listed treasury and mining companies in the U.S. announced their latest accounts regarding digital asset allocation, note financing, and liquidity management. The core updates are as follows:Evernorth Holdings plans to issue $30 million in convertible senior notes, specifically for increasing its holdings in XRP and ecological expansion: The treasury company Evernorth Holdings submitted an 8-K filing to the U.S. SEC, disclosing that it has signed a subscription agreement with a trust under South Korea's NH Investment & Securities, planning to issue convertible senior payment-in-kind (PIK) notes with a scale of $30 million, an annual interest rate of 4%, and maturing in 2031. The formal effectiveness of the notes is contingent upon the completion of the business merger transaction between Evernorth and the SPAC company Armada Acquisition Corp. II (expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2026). The proceeds will be fully used to purchase XRP in the secondary market and participate in XRP-related ecological businesses. Noteholders can convert the notes into the company's Class A common stock one year after the effective date, with an initial conversion price of approximately $10.20 per share.Bitdeer (NASDAQ: $BTDR) disclosed weekly mining data, producing 287.2 BTC fully liquidated: The Nasdaq-listed Bitcoin mining company Bitdeer announced its latest Bitcoin holdings data. As of the week of September 18, its self-operated Bitcoin mining output was 287.2 BTC, and it sold 287.2 BTC in the open market during the same period, resulting in a net addition of 0 BTC for the week. The balance sheet continues to implement a liquidity strategy of immediate sale upon production, maintaining zero Bitcoin retention.

SoftBank Group issued $10 billion and $1 billion European bonds for investment in OpenAI.