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Arthur Hayes: The Bitcoin bull market started at the end of February, and if it breaks through $90,000, the momentum will accelerate

BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes stated in his latest blog post that the Bitcoin bull market truly began with the outbreak of war between the U.S. and Iran on February 28. AI capital expenditures, war spending, and countries' investments in physical infrastructure to ensure supply chain security will drive the reckless expansion of fiat credit, and Bitcoin will continue to benefit.Hayes pointed out that Bitcoin has rebounded from a low of $60,000 earlier this year, reiterating that breaking through the previous high of $126,000 is "inevitable." Hayes believes that the scale of this round of AI capital expenditures is unprecedented, with central banks like the Federal Reserve printing more money. The declining trust in dollar assets will shift towards investments in physical infrastructure and commodity reserves, further driving fiat expansion.He expects that once Bitcoin breaks through $90,000, the momentum will accelerate, and he will raise the risk exposure of Maelstrom's portfolio to the maximum. Besides Hyperliquid and Zcash, Hayes' next most favored altcoin is NEAR, which he will explain in subsequent articles regarding how its privacy narrative and Intent architecture create positive cash flow for the protocol. He concluded by stating that while it is currently a bull market, there will eventually be a time to sell, but that time is not now.

Kraken's parent company Payward is seeking new financing at a valuation of $20 billion to accelerate mergers and acquisitions and advance IPO preparations

According to informed sources, Payward, the parent company of the cryptocurrency platform Kraken, is conducting a new round of capital financing at a valuation of $20 billion, to which Kraken declined to comment.The company has recently significantly increased its merger and acquisition spending—acquiring the stablecoin-focused payment company Reap for $600 million and the digital asset derivatives platform Bitnomial for $550 million, both transactions conducted at a $20 billion valuation.Its largest transaction was the $1.5 billion acquisition of the U.S. retail futures platform and CFTC-registered futures commission merchant NinjaTrader in 2025, which provided Kraken with a significant foothold in the U.S. derivatives market.Regarding IPO progress, Payward secretly submitted an S-1 registration statement draft to the U.S. SEC on November 19, 2025. Although reports in March 2026 indicated that the company paused its IPO plans due to unfavorable market conditions, sources stated that the company still intends to go public, but may wait for market improvements.At last week's Consensus conference in Miami, Payward co-CEO Arjun Sethi stated that the trading platform is "80% ready" for an IPO.Additionally, Deutsche Börse (DB1) purchased approximately 1.5% of Payward's shares for $200 million through a secondary share sale in April 2026, valuing Payward at $13.3 billion (lower than the previous financing round's valuation of about $20 billion).In November 2025, Kraken completed an $800 million financing in two tranches to push traditional financial products onto the blockchain, with investors including Jane Street, DRW Venture Capital, and Tribe Capital. Subsequently, Citadel Securities also made a strategic investment of $200 million at a $20 billion valuation.

TeraWulf's Q1 HPC revenue surpasses Bitcoin mining for the first time, as the trend of transitioning computing power to AI infrastructure accelerates

Bitcoin mining company TeraWulf announced its Q1 financial report, showing that its high-performance computing (HPC) business has for the first time surpassed Bitcoin mining revenue, marking a critical stage in the company's transformation towards AI and cloud computing infrastructure.The company's total revenue for Q1 was $34 million, roughly flat compared to the same period last year. Among this, HPC leasing revenue reached $21 million, surpassing the less than $13 million from digital asset mining for the first time, becoming the main source of income. The financial report also indicated that the company's net loss widened to $427.6 million, mainly due to the impact of non-cash warrant revaluation. However, CFO Patrick Fleury emphasized that the company is transitioning from "volatile mining revenue" to "stable long-term computing power contract revenue." Currently, TeraWulf has 60 MW of HPC capacity generating revenue at its Lake Mariner data center in New York and plans to continue expanding within the year. At the same time, the company is transforming part of its mining infrastructure into AI/HPC computing resources to support massive computing power demands. This trend is spreading throughout the industry, with Bitcoin mining companies like Riot Platforms also expanding their revenue structure through data centers and AI contracts, gradually transforming into "computing power infrastructure companies."

Gate founder and CEO Dr. Han: AI and Web3 accelerate product iteration, driving continuous upgrades in user experience

Gate founder and CEO Dr. Han recently stated in an interview with The Block that the integration of AI and Web3 is accelerating efficiency improvements in the industry. The company has fully opened AI enterprise accounts for team members and is widely applying them in scenarios such as coding and development, significantly enhancing overall productivity.On this basis, the product iteration pace has been drastically compressed from "updates every few weeks" to "daily updates." Meanwhile, Web3 provides AI agents with automated payment capabilities, achieving low-cost and high-efficiency fund settlement through on-chain protocols. AI has also become an important tool for dealing with vast on-chain assets, capable of quickly completing liquidity screening and trading path optimization based on instructions.When discussing compliance and industry competition, Dr. Han pointed out that current crypto trading platforms have become homogenized in terms of product experience, but intense competition continues to drive overall service level improvements. Gate has currently achieved regulatory coverage in 81 jurisdictions worldwide, with compliant operations covering 46 states in the United States, and has obtained the European MiCA license, which covers 29 European markets, while also obtaining relevant licenses in Dubai, Japan, and Australia. Blockchain is gradually evolving from a single cryptocurrency carrier to an infrastructure that supports diverse assets.Dr. Han believes that with the ongoing integration of AI and Web3, Gate is continuously optimizing user experience and extending the platform into broader everyday use scenarios.

Gate Research Institute: Polymarket Accelerates Growth, Gate Strategizes New Entry into Prediction Markets

Gate Research Institute released a market forecast report titled "Polymarket Growth Accelerates, Gate's Layout for New Entry into Prediction Markets," which dissects trading volume, fee mechanisms, and market structure. The report points out that Polymarket's trading volume and active users continue to grow, and the platform has evolved from early on-chain experiments into an event trading market with real liquidity and revenue capabilities. Overall growth is driven by political, sports, and geopolitical events, and user retention may decline during the phase when hot topics fade.Fees and revenues are rising rapidly, driven on one hand by expanding trading demand and on the other by the expansion of the fee scope and changes in the fee structure. Revenue growth is directly related to rule adjustments. Platform trading is highly concentrated in a few high-interest sectors, and the long-tail market contributes limited overall liquidity.Gate has integrated a Polymarket entry in the app, providing two interaction modes: prediction mode and trading mode. Users can participate using USDT through their exchange accounts or use USDC on Polygon via a Web3 wallet. The report believes that prediction markets are evolving along two parallel paths: the integration of on-chain open infrastructure and centralized products. Its long-term potential depends on the continuous stability of event supply, regulatory environment, and user behavior.

Kalshi and Polymarket announce the launch of perpetual contract trading, as the prediction market platform accelerates its entry into the derivatives space

According to CoinDesk, the prediction market platform Kalshi is preparing to launch cryptocurrency trading in the United States, expanding beyond its core prediction market business. According to insiders, the platform plans to initially introduce perpetual contracts linked to cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin.This move will put Kalshi in more direct competition with cryptocurrency platforms like Coinbase. Coinbase currently does not offer true perpetual contracts in the U.S., but has launched "perpetual-like" futures contracts with long durations and has expressed intentions to introduce more advanced derivatives products within the U.S.Kalshi holds several licenses from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and has recently been approved to offer margin trading, positioning it to enter the derivatives market. Insiders say the company expects to start with cryptocurrency-linked perpetual contracts and may expand this model to other asset classes in the future.Kalshi's competitor Polymarket also announced on X plans to launch perpetual futures on its platform, but did not disclose further details. A video in the tweet shows that users will be allowed to trade leveraged long and short positions on assets like gold, NVIDIA, BTC, AAPL, and indicates that registration will provide early access.

Bitfinex Report: The market value of tokenized commodities surpasses 7 billion USD, and the upgrade of stablecoin infrastructure accelerates implementation

Bitfinex released a report indicating that tokenized commodities are moving from early experimentation to practical application, becoming an important manifestation of the reconstruction of real-world assets (RWA) on the blockchain. The core of this shift is not to create new demand, but to reshape existing market infrastructure.Data shows that the total market value of tokenized commodities has reached approximately $7 billion, growing nearly 600% since the beginning of 2025. Current major participants include crypto-native investors and high-net-worth individuals. Amid increasing geopolitical volatility, tokenization is enhancing asset liquidity and risk management flexibility. Gold remains the primary entry point, with Tether Gold accounting for nearly 40% market share.The report points out that on-chain gold possesses characteristics such as real-time transfer and global auditability, making it more suitable as collateral compared to physical assets, and it can overcome traditional trading hours and settlement limitations. In addition to gold, tokenized commodities have expanded into areas such as oil, natural gas, and agricultural products, with soybeans and soybean oil each around $400 million, and green financing-related exposure around $850 million, indicating that this model has cross-category expansion potential.At the same time, the traceability of blockchain has also enhanced supply chain transparency, meeting regulatory and ESG requirements. Bitfinex believes that in the future, the focus of tokenization will shift from precious metals to industrial products such as copper and oil, achieving a transition from "product innovation" to "market infrastructure upgrade" by improving collateral efficiency, asset circulation speed, and transparency.
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