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According to CoinDesk, blockchain analysis company Chainalysis has released a new methodological proposal aimed at establishing a unified on-chain fund tracking standard framework for law enforcement agencies and investigators, to identify address clusters and determine their possible control relationships.The proposal defines the on-chain analysis structure in the form of "ontology," focusing on systematically breaking down the currently unstandardized concept of "cluster" in the industry into wallet segments and functional roles, and describing on-chain relationships through a two-layer structure: the first layer defines the transaction graph structure, and the second layer assesses inference confidence.Chainalysis stated that the framework aims to enhance the interpretability and legal applicability of on-chain forensic methods, and is designed and validated based on its practical experience in relevant cases within the U.S. Department of Justice, including the analytical application in the mixing service Bitcoin Fog case.The company's Chief Scientist Jacob Illum pointed out that the goal of the proposal is to answer "on what evidence basis can these addresses be considered to belong to the same entity," while emphasizing that on-chain analysis itself cannot directly identify the ultimate user identity and still requires legal investigative methods combined with centralized entities such as exchanges.Chainalysis indicated that the standard proposal is currently open for discussion within the industry, hoping to promote the formation of more unified technical specifications for on-chain analysis methods in the fields of law enforcement and compliance.

According to Cointelegraph, CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated that the Bitcoin unspent transaction output (UTXO) data shows that the proportion of loss transactions to profit transactions in the current market has dropped to the lowest level of this bear market cycle, indicating that investors are entering a clear "surrender" phase.This indicator has previously triggered multiple times at historical cycle bottom areas. The last similar low occurred during the mid-2023 deep phase of the bear market, when the Bitcoin price briefly fell to around $26,000. Analysts believe that such phases usually correspond to extremely low market sentiment, with long-term investors gradually starting to accumulate again.Darkfost pointed out that this is the first time this signal has been triggered since the start of the current correction, indicating that the number of UTXOs sold at a loss is significantly increasing, reflecting a broader sell-off and surrender behavior that has begun. He also added that the spent output profit ratio (SOPR) of long-term holders' Bitcoin is gradually entering negative territory.

Base officially released an analysis report on the interruption of block production, which disclosed that the Base mainnet experienced two interruptions in block production on June 25 and 26, lasting 116 minutes and 20 minutes respectively. The security of on-chain assets was not affected, and funds remained in a secure state.The root cause of the incident stemmed from a logic flaw in the sequencer's block construction: after a transaction execution failure, the old journal state was not correctly cleared, leading to gas calculation errors during the execution of subsequent valid transactions, which in turn generated invalid state transition blocks, causing the entire L2 chain to pause block production.Base stated that the issue has been resolved through a patch, and it will strengthen the protocol's fuzz testing and stress testing systems to identify potential malicious transaction paths, while also optimizing monitoring and operational processes. Additionally, there are plans to introduce a recovery mechanism to enhance the ability to recover quickly from similar incidents in the future.

The Kobeissi Letter analysis points out that since April, the cumulative net outflow from U.S. gold and Bitcoin-related ETFs has been about $12 billion, while during the same period, semiconductor ETFs recorded a net inflow of about $20 billion, with funds clearly concentrating in the technology growth sector.This trend accelerated further in mid-May: the outflow from gold and Bitcoin ETFs increased more than threefold, while the inflow into semiconductor ETFs doubled. In terms of market performance, the world's largest gold ETF GLD has fallen about 13% since early April, and the Bitcoin ETF IBIT has dropped about 12% during the same period; in contrast, semiconductor ETFs SOXX and SMH have risen approximately 81% and 60%, respectively.Analysis suggests that the current market shows a clear "risk preference switch," with retail funds accelerating their shift from safe-haven assets and crypto assets to high-growth semiconductor and AI-related sectors, driving the market in unprecedented ways.

According to Bloomberg, SK Hynix is expected to issue American Depositary Receipts on Nasdaq on July 10. This listing plan aims to raise nearly $30 billion and is expected to become one of the largest ADR issuances in history. The market generally believes that this move will significantly expand its global investor base and may drive a revaluation.Several asset management companies expect that if its valuation aligns with Micron, there is a 30% upside potential for the stock price in the coming year. A fund manager pointed out that SK Hynix should at least trade at a valuation level comparable to Micron, as demand for memory chips may continue to exceed supply in the coming years. This listing occurs during a rare boom period in the memory chip industry. The stock prices of Micron, SK Hynix, and Samsung Electronics have all risen over 200% this year, marking the best annual performance in decades. The demand for HBM from AI servers is widely seen as a driving force behind a structural "memory supercycle."

CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. stated that Strategy's preferred stock MSTR has fallen 78% from its peak, while Bitcoin has dropped 51% from its peak. The average cost basis for Strategy's 847,363 BTC holdings is $75,651, with a total cost of $64.1 billion. The current BTC price has fallen below this cost line for the first time since the bear market of 2022. The additional decline of MSTR relative to BTC has reached about 28 percentage points, approaching the upper end of the historical range, but has not yet touched the extreme of an 89% retracement from the 2022 low.Meanwhile, Strategy's purchasing strategy has clearly shifted to a defensive stance: the weekly BTC purchase volume has been cut by about two-thirds, with less than 11% of the $335.5 million raised through stock issuance used to buy BTC, and the remainder transferred to dollar reserves. At the end of May, Strategy also conducted its first net sell since 2022, selling 32 BTC to pay STRC dividends. Adler pointed out that the main risk currently lies in BTC remaining below the treasury cost line of $75,000, which would block the financing channel for ATM issuance by compressing the MSTR premium. However, nearly all of Strategy's debt is in convertible bonds, with no additional margin risk; the baseline scenario is the loss of marginal buyers rather than cascading liquidations. The real pressure point lies in the company's transition from selling stock to systematically selling BTC itself to pay preferred stock dividends and debt interest.

According to CoinDesk, Bitcoin has repeatedly found support around $59,000 in June, a position that has replaced $60,000 as a more critical technical support level. On Wednesday, as the decline accelerated, the price briefly approached $59,000 before rebounding to $61,000, a similar trend that occurred on June 5, when the price rebounded to $67,000 after stopping the decline near $59,000.The Federal Reserve's most closely watched PCE data will be released on Thursday evening, with core PCE expected to rise year-on-year by 3.3%-3.4%, the highest since October 2023. If the data exceeds expectations, it will confirm that the rise in inflation is not a temporary phenomenon, potentially strengthening interest rate hike expectations and pushing the dollar index further up, putting pressure on cryptocurrencies; if it falls short of expectations, it may alleviate concerns about interest rate hikes, providing support for Bitcoin's rebound from $59,000.

According to BBX data, yesterday traditional derivatives giant made a high-profile entry into the prediction market, and a counter-cyclical signal appeared for digital asset reserve companies. The core dynamics are as follows:Cboe Global Markets, Inc. (NASDAQ: $CBOE) announced yesterday the re-launch of binary options products benchmarked to the S&P 500 index ("Yes/No" structure, providing fixed returns or zero at expiration based on contract conditions). This marks Cboe's first return to this category since it withdrew about ten years ago, directly entering the prediction market track pioneered by Polymarket and Kalshi, which has become "one of the fastest-growing areas on the internet." This move signifies that one of the largest regulated derivatives exchanges in the U.S. officially recognizes binary options/prediction markets as an independent asset class, entering the competition with the compliance endorsement of a traditional exchange and institutional distribution capabilities, rather than holding a regulatory exclusion attitude towards this model. For cryptocurrency concept stocks, Cboe's entry has dual implications: first, it further validates the market size and legitimacy of prediction markets; second, Cboe's institutional channels and Coinbase (the only licensed prediction market FCM by the CFTC) will compete in parallel under the same regulatory framework, leading to an increase in the valuation and policy attention of the entire track.Strive, Inc. (NASDAQ: $ASST) was cited in a market analysis report yesterday (pending independent confirmation from the official SEC 8-K document), stating that the company recently increased its holdings by approximately 759 BTC at an average price of about $65,850; based on this calculation, the company's BTC holdings have increased from 19,032 disclosed in the SEC 8-K on June 5 to about 19,791 (approximately $1.17 billion). This increase occurred against the backdrop of Bitcoin continuously declining from the $65,000 to $66,000 range. Strive and Strategy (which also increased its holdings by 520 BTC during the same period) are among the few DAT companies that maintained active purchases during the reporting period; CEO Matt Cole previously positioned the continuous increase in BTC as a "differentiated catch-up" to Strategy's scale advantage rather than a pure directional bet on price. The company holds approximately $139.2 million in cash, and the capital balance between the 9.5% annual dividend obligation of preferred stock (SATA) and BTC purchases is currently the most noteworthy balance sheet risk point.

The predictive market analysis platform Polysights announced the completion of a $1.5 million financing round, with investors including YZi Labs S3, Maven 11 Capital, Varys Capital, Contribution Capital, and Edge Ventures.Polysights is building an automated and intelligent infrastructure for predictive markets. According to reports, Polysights is based on artificial intelligence technology and is aimed at individual traders and various institutions, enabling wallet-associated cluster screening, market anomaly detection, and the ability to analyze various trading strategies in predictive markets.

According to The Block, Bitcoin miner revenue continues to decline, with the 7-day moving average dropping to about $30,000,000 per day, down from over $50,000,000 last summer. The contribution from transaction fees has become negligible, at less than $250,000 per day. The current trading price of BTC is about $62,500, significantly lower than JPMorgan's estimated production cost of around $78,000, a gap that has persisted for five months, the longest in this cycle. Production costs have historically been seen as a soft price floor, and currently, about 20% of miners are operating at a loss.Network-level pressure is becoming evident. Over the past six months, the beta value of mining difficulty relative to BTC price has risen to 0.62, with high-cost miners switching off their machines based on price fluctuations rather than continuing to operate at a loss. In the second week of June, difficulty decreased by 10%, marking the second similar adjustment this year. Publicly listed mining companies have sold over 32,000 BTC in the first quarter to cover operating costs, rather than further reducing production capacity.

According to Jinshi, Capital.com analyst Daniela Hathorn stated in a report that the upcoming U.S. PCE data and non-farm payroll report will determine whether the current rise of the dollar has further room to grow.She pointed out that if inflation and labor market data continue to support the narrative that interest rates will remain high for a longer period, the dollar should continue to receive support. Conversely, if price pressures begin to ease more quickly, the market may question whether the current interest rate expectations are too aggressive.

CryptoQuant founder Ki Young Ju stated that the current Bitcoin purchasing behavior of Strategy resembles a "liquidity absorber" rather than an effective price catalyst.He pointed out that in the past two years, Bitcoin's market capitalization has increased by $467 billion, yet the price has actually dropped by 1%, indicating that the influx of large amounts of capital has merely resulted in a transfer of chips without driving up the price. In the current environment with obvious selling pressure, continuous buying by Strategy may only serve to maintain the range rather than truly drive an increase.Ki Young Ju suggested that Strategy pause Bitcoin purchases until cash reserves and dividend coverage capabilities are restored; establish a systematic, model-driven buying framework to avoid the market impression of "always buying at local highs"; and create a disciplined selling mechanism in the next bull market to reduce leverage and realize shareholder value by partially taking profits at highs, while accumulating reserves of "dry powder" for future lows.He believes that this cycle is different from previous ones, as Bitcoin has been in a sideways trend for nearly two years, neither forming a strong bull market nor experiencing sufficient panic selling and weak hands clearing out. The market may need a more thorough clearing to initiate a healthier rebound.

According to official news, the Web3 smart data analysis platform AiTraceRoot has completed a strategic financing of $3.5 million, with participation from Castrum Capital, Becker Ventures, Coinvestor, and Gemhead Capital. The funds raised will be used for product research and development, security upgrades, large-scale data model training, and collaborative development within the BNB Chain ecosystem. AiTraceRoot is a smart data analysis support platform aimed at the Web3 field, dedicated to providing intelligent data analysis services for global Web3 users.

NextGen Venture founder Jason Huang posted on platform X that Strategy (MSTR) issued new shares through an ATM last week, which did not actually increase the per-share Bitcoin holdings but instead diluted its mNAV multiple. He pointed out that the number of Bitcoins corresponding to each share is decreasing, and the official mNAV metric has dropped to 1.1 times, based on the most recent disclosure before last week's decline. Huang warned that once MSTR's performance relative to Bitcoin lags by another 10% (negative Alpha), each issuance through the ATM will further dilute the per-share Bitcoin holdings, and at that point, the death spiral will truly begin; the recent decline is merely an appetizer.

The price of Bitcoin has retreated to $62,000, and the second day of chip stock sell-offs is dragging down the crypto market, with over $1.5 billion in leveraged positions being liquidated.

Analyst Murphy stated that there is strong support around $60,000 before and after the expiration of Bitcoin options on June 26, making it difficult to break below that level easily. In the corresponding Gamma chart, the range of $59,000 to $62,000 shows a clear positive Gamma, and the hedging behavior of market makers will suppress volatility, making it easier for the price to be fixed in that area. At the same time, there is a significant accumulation of Put options with a strike price of $60,000, totaling up to 4,620 BTC, forming a strong Put wall that will generate substantial buying power and provide solid support as the price approaches. Historically, when similar options structures have appeared, they often correspond to phase bottoms or the end of pullback stages. Analyst Murphy believes that $60,000 remains a strong support level in the short term and is cautiously optimistic about the short-term market performance.

According to analyst Darkfost, the realized price of short-term holders (STH) of Bitcoin is currently about $74,800, while BTC has been running below this cost line for eight consecutive months, with short-term holders still generally under pressure from losses. Currently, the average unrealized loss for STH is about 14.4%, a significant improvement from over 34% in February of this year.It is noteworthy that the cost price for STH has decreased from $95,700 to $74,800, indicating that some short-term holders have continued to accumulate during the decline, thereby lowering the overall holding cost. In this cycle, the unrealized profit for STH peaked at 47% in March 2024, while when BTC reached an all-time high in October 2025, this metric was only 11%, showing that the market's profit level is significantly weaker than in previous stages. The STH cost price of $74,800 remains a key resistance level. If BTC can regain this level, it may indicate a positive shift in market structure; however, before that, this area is more likely to become a selling pressure zone for short-term holders looking to break even.

Today, Bitget CFD Chief Analyst Lewis Huang pointed out in an online live broadcast themed "Logic of Gold Trend Analysis" that this week's market focus will be on the U.S. May PCE Price Index and the final value of Q1 GDP.Previously, CPI and PPI data reached new highs, non-farm employment showed robust performance, and signals of inflation rebound combined with the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance have led the market to gradually digest rate hike expectations. He emphasized that Waller has clearly stated that controlling inflation is the top priority, and the interest rate dot plot shows that rate hikes in 2026 are becoming an internal consensus, and the market needs to prepare for a higher and longer-lasting interest rate environment.Regarding the gold trend, Lewis Huang stated that due to the impact of geopolitical conflicts driving up energy prices, the overall year-on-year increase in the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index may rise to 3.4% or even higher. If the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index rises unexpectedly, the U.S. Dollar Index will gain strong momentum, while non-interest-bearing assets like gold will face weakening risks. He suggests that CFD traders closely monitor inflation expectation differentials and flexibly capture opportunities for U.S. dollar bullishness or guard against gold downturns.

According to Fortune, New York blockchain data analytics company Allium announced the completion of a $40,000,000 Series B financing round, led by Amplify Partners, with participation from Kleiner Perkins and Theory Ventures.Allium focuses on cleaning and integrating complex on-chain data, providing services to institutional clients such as Visa, the Federal Reserve, Coinbase, and a16z's crypto division.