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Microsoft reduced spending by approximately $5 billion due to delays in data centers, while AMD raised its revenue forecast

According to a report by The Information, Microsoft has reduced its capital expenditures for the third quarter by about $5 billion due to delays in the third-party data center it plans to lease. Sources say that the data center project by Iren located in Childress, Texas, has encountered delays, leading Microsoft to postpone some expenditures. Microsoft had previously announced plans to invest $9.7 billion over five years to lease servers equipped with NVIDIA GPUs from Iren.Power supply and grid access have also become bottlenecks for computing power delivery. Last month, Microsoft withdrew from a plan to lease a data center project in the UK from Nscale due to delays in grid access. As self-built data centers struggle to meet demand in a timely manner, Microsoft is simultaneously leasing computing power from multiple cloud service providers.Meanwhile, AI server supplier Supermicro continues to raise its performance expectations. The company's revenue for the first fiscal quarter reached $19.95 billion, exceeding analysts' expectations of $16.39 billion, and it expects revenue for the second fiscal quarter to be between $19.5 billion and $21.5 billion. The revenue forecast for fiscal year 2027 has also been raised from $65 billion to $72 billion to $72 billion to $82 billion. Bernstein pointed out that assessing AI computing power demand cannot simply rely on contract amounts or megawatt scale; it also needs to consider contract cancelability, duration, and actual deployment time; some projects may be delivered in phases, and chip procurement agreements may correspond to the same batch of computing power as data center leasing contracts.

Goldman Sachs: Upgrades the forecast for U.S. data center construction spending, expected to reach 125 billion dollars by 2028

Despite the panic in the market caused by stricter regulations on data centers after the Democratic Party gained control of Congress, Goldman Sachs has raised its forecast for U.S. data center construction spending, increasing the 2026 expectation from $67 billion to $80 billion, and from $87 billion in 2027 to $100 billion, while also predicting for the first time that it will reach $125 billion in 2028.Goldman Sachs pointed out that there are currently about 86 GW of data center projects under construction in the U.S., with approximately $900 billion in high-confidence projects awaiting construction, indicating that the overall construction cycle remains resilient. The demand and backlog orders from hyperscale cloud service providers such as Microsoft, Amazon, and Google have not shown significant cooling, with H100 computing power rental prices rising 26% year-on-year and GB200 rental prices increasing by 50% since the beginning of the year.In response to the data center moratorium proposed by Texas Governor-elect Gina Hinojosa, Goldman Sachs believes that its impact is more about delaying project delivery rather than directly canceling construction plans, but it may lead to increased financing costs, reduced tax incentives, and some clients canceling contracts. Goldman Sachs also warned that the overall growth prospects of the industry need to be distinguished from the survival capabilities of individual developers, as highly leveraged data center developers may face severe financial pressure due to project delays and rising financing costs, with some companies potentially unable to last until their projects go into production.

QCP: Global central banks maintain interest rates, technology spending and the Binance incident drive repricing

Digital asset trading company QCP pointed out in its latest market report that the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, and the Bank of Japan all kept interest rates unchanged this week, but the market is still betting that the European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan may raise rates in December. The Federal Reserve maintained the federal funds rate at 3.75% to 4.00% with a vote of 10 to 2 during the October meeting. Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh did not commit to any rate adjustments for December and beyond.In addition, the Federal Reserve announced that there will be no rate votes at one meeting in 2027 and two meetings in 2028, which will only be used to discuss monetary policy strategy. QCP believes that the reduction in decision-making nodes may allow for the accumulation of more economic data between the two meetings, making the market more sensitive to data changes and increasing interest rate volatility and term premiums. The European Central Bank kept interest rates unchanged, citing that previous inflation data had not yet produced second-round effects, but the market still expects a possible rate hike in December. The Bank of Japan also kept interest rates unchanged and stated that inflation has reached the 2% target, with the market pricing in the possibility of a rate hike in December.In terms of technology stocks, shares of Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, and Intel fell after announcing quarterly results, as the market is concerned about current corporate earnings performance and future capital expenditure plans, particularly focusing on the pace and profitability of AI infrastructure investment. In the cryptocurrency market, Binance experienced a significant security incident on Friday morning, affecting approximately $6.3 billion in assets, which initially led to a decline in trading activity in the cryptocurrency market. QCP pointed out that the market gradually stabilized afterward, with participants seemingly viewing this incident as a company-level risk rather than a systemic event affecting the entire cryptocurrency market or infrastructure, with central bank policy uncertainty, concerns over technology companies' capital allocation, and the Binance security incident collectively driving the market to reprice.
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