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Grayscale: The various sectors of cryptocurrency are gradually decoupling from Bitcoin's trend, with volatility generally higher than that of Bitcoin

According to a report by Crypto Briefing, Grayscale's research indicates that the correlation between crypto assets and Bitcoin is decreasing, with Bitcoin currently explaining only about 50% of the return volatility across various crypto sectors.The report breaks down the annualized volatility and the impact of Bitcoin-related factors by sector: the annualized volatility of the currency sector is 49%, with 43% attributed to Bitcoin; the annualized volatility of the smart contract platform sector is 58%, with 38% attributed to Bitcoin; the annualized volatility of the finance sector is 59%, with 30% attributed to Bitcoin; the annualized volatility of the utilities and services sector is 67%, with 30% attributed to Bitcoin; the annualized volatility of the consumer and culture sector is 76%, with 46% attributed to Bitcoin; the artificial intelligence sector has the highest annualized volatility at 85%, with only 35% attributed to Bitcoin.The research points out that Bitcoin's own annualized volatility has recently been around 43%, while the volatility of all sectors tracked by Grayscale is higher than that of Bitcoin. The report suggests that lower correlation does not imply lower risk, but the fact that Bitcoin explains only half of the return volatility means that the other half is driven by factors specific to each sector, providing investors with a reference for assessing which sectors can offer true diversification.

first_img Zhao Changpeng: The adoption rate of cryptocurrency may take 5 to 10 years to reach 20%, and there is currently insufficient innovation in the retail sector

During a speech at the Oxford Union, Binance founder Changpeng Zhao mentioned that the adoption process of cryptocurrency is slow but irreversible. He estimates that it may take 5 to 10 years for the cryptocurrency adoption rate to reach 20%, while the middle 60% to 80% may take another 10 to 20 years, and the final 20% could take a long time. The initial phase is filled with skepticism, accelerating after surpassing 20%, and slowing down after exceeding 80%.He pointed out that in the past two years, many governments around the world have shown a significant change in their attitude towards cryptocurrency. The United States has shifted to a crypto-friendly stance, with other countries following suit. However, the upgrade of the financial system is slow, and large institutions exhibit inertia, leading to significant friction for banks to directly access blockchain.Currently, innovation in retail payment and daily use cases is still lacking. Many projects are just getting started and will need another year or two, while on the institutional side, ETFs, tokenized stocks, and stablecoins are on the rise. Different cycles focus on different aspects, shifting from early Bitcoin and ICOs to meme coins, and recently turning towards institutional adoption. He remains optimistic about this and is willing to fund developers.
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