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According to BBX data, institutional demand for Bitcoin ETFs maintained strong momentum yesterday. Today, both houses of Congress are advancing cryptocurrency legislation simultaneously for the first time, with the core dynamics as follows:The U.S. Bitcoin spot ETF recorded a total net inflow of approximately $358.1 million yesterday (May 13), with BlackRock, Inc. (NYSE: $BLK) subsidiary iShares Bitcoin Trust (NASDAQ: $IBIT) seeing a single-day net inflow of $269.3 million, the strongest single-day data in recent weeks; the overall U.S. Bitcoin spot ETF has recorded net positive inflows for seven consecutive weeks, further reinforcing the structural signal of institutional capital returning. Bitcoin closed above $80,000 yesterday, with a year-to-date increase of about 14%, and market sentiment remains relatively optimistic on the eve of the CLARITY Act markup.The House Ways & Means Committee held a closed-door meeting today (May 14) on cryptocurrency tax reform in sync with the Senate Banking Committee's CLARITY Act markup, covering topics such as the treatment of capital gains tax on crypto assets, tax reporting responsibilities for DeFi protocols, and the tax classification of Bitcoin mining and staking income; this marks the first time in 2026 that both houses of Congress are advancing cryptocurrency regulatory legislation on the same day, indicating that cryptocurrency regulatory legislation has expanded from a single market structure issue to a complete legislative ecosystem of "regulatory framework + tax system."

According to CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost, Bitcoin's realized market capitalization month-on-month growth rate has turned positive at +0.25%, marking the beginning of capital flowing back into the Bitcoin market.Bitcoin's realized market capitalization measures the difference between profits and losses realized in the market, reflecting the transfer of assets from weak hands to strong hands and an improvement in sentiment. However, Darkfost also cautions that the market's subsequent direction should pay attention to the sustainability of this indicator.

According to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve's Goolsbee stated that positive progress on inflation will lead to interest rate cuts, but such a situation has not yet occurred.

BTC IV 39%, ETH IV 55%; ETH Skew is at a critical turning point------the mid to long term stabilizes at +2 to +5, while the short term has repeatedly dropped to -10 but quickly returned to zero. If ETH stabilizes above $2,400, the short term turning positive will resonate with the mid to long term, confirming a shift from event hedging to upward chasing. The BTC/ETH GEX Term Structure shows that the near-month Gamma has clearly turned positive, with ETF inflows and Call accumulation driving a positive Gamma slow bull structure------under a Long Gamma environment for market makers, the short term is inclined towards high-level fluctuations and slow increases, with IV retreating. Bull Call Spread and selling Put strategies are dominant, but the far month retains negative Gamma reflecting ongoing tail hedging demand. In terms of block trades, 1,001.8 BTC 5/8 expiration $88K Calls were traded, and 14,288 ETH 5/15 expiration $2,600 Calls were traded, indicating clear bullish signals from institutions.Gate has launched the "Rising Star Trader Support Program" for options, with a total prize pool of $25,000 USDT. During the event, users can earn multiple rewards through options trading, inviting friends, and participating in KOL incubation camps: the highest reward for meeting trading volume standards can reach $3,000, and the highest commission for inviting can reach $2,000. Meanwhile, the platform also provides high-quality traders with 1-on-1 options hedging training, exclusive rate discounts, and traffic support, helping traders enhance their strategy capabilities and market influence, and providing a more competitive trading environment and growth opportunities for professional options users.

According to Coinglass data, the Coinbase Bitcoin premium index has turned positive after 4 days of negative premium, currently reported at 0.0037%, indicating that buying sentiment in the U.S. market is starting to warm up.The Coinbase Bitcoin premium index is used to measure the difference between the Bitcoin price on Coinbase (a mainstream trading platform in the U.S.) and the global market average price. This index is an important indicator for observing capital flows in the U.S. market, institutional investment enthusiasm, and changes in market sentiment. A positive premium indicates that the Coinbase price is higher than the global average price, which usually means: strong buying in the U.S. market, active entry of institutional or compliant funds, ample dollar liquidity, and optimistic investment sentiment. A negative premium indicates that the Coinbase price is lower than the global average price, which typically reflects: significant selling pressure in the U.S. market, decreased risk appetite among investors, increased market risk aversion, or capital outflows.

According to Gate market data, both the Nasdaq and S&P 500 indices have turned positive, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average is currently down 0.39%.

Robinhood's cryptocurrency business performance significantly declined in the first quarter of 2026. The company reported cryptocurrency revenue of $134 million, a 47% decrease compared to the same period last year; the nominal volume of cryptocurrency trades on the native app was $24 billion, down 48% year-over-year. This decline continues the trend observed since the end of 2025, when Q4 cryptocurrency trading revenue had already dropped by 38%. Robinhood stated in its quarterly report that the acquired Bitstamp trading platform contributed $42 billion in trading volume but did not provide year-over-year data.Despite the weakness in the cryptocurrency business, Robinhood's overall trading revenue still grew by 7% year-over-year to $623 million, mainly due to a 320% surge in prediction market revenue. Options revenue increased by 8% to $260 million, while stock revenue surged by 46% to $82 million. The company's net profit reached $346 million, a 3% increase year-over-year.

According to CoinDesk, Fidelity Digital Assets released the "Q2 2026 Signal Report," indicating that although the overall cryptocurrency market was in a consolidation phase at the beginning of the second quarter, several underlying data points have shown signs of stabilization.The report shows that Bitcoin's dominance continues to rise, with capital consistently concentrating on the most liquid assets. The levels of unrealized profits and momentum indicators are consistent with characteristics of a correction period, which may lay the foundation for a more stable market structure in the future.Meanwhile, the network usage and price trends of Ethereum and Solana have diverged, indicating that demand at the protocol layer remains robust. The report also notes that Bitcoin futures are currently experiencing negative funding rates, and research institution 10x believes this reflects structural hedging behavior by institutions rather than an overall bearish signal.

According to Coinglass data, the Coinbase Bitcoin Premium Index has been positive for 18 consecutive days, currently reported at 0.0336%.The Coinbase Bitcoin Premium Index is used to measure the difference between the Bitcoin price on Coinbase (a mainstream trading platform in the U.S.) and the global market average price. A negative premium typically reflects greater selling pressure in the U.S. market, a decline in investor risk appetite, increased market risk aversion, or capital outflows.

BIT tweeted that in the past two issues of the "Biton Target" report, we hinted that the bear market phase of Bitcoin may be nearing its end. Signals from multiple time dimensions are gradually forming resonance, supporting this judgment. When this judgment was made, Bitcoin was approaching the downward trend line formed since the bear market began in October 2025, just one step away from breaking upwards. Meanwhile, the weekly stochastic oscillator has fallen to a low not seen since January 2023, which was near the phase bottom after the end of the 2021/2022 bear market. Historically, this indicator reading often corresponds to market bottom areas.Our Bitcoin trend model has turned bullish. Trend signals do not always materialize, but considering that Bitcoin itself has strong trends and high volatility characteristics, after the previous two signals reversed quickly, the current round of movement has better conditions for continuation. Additionally, Bitcoin's price is gradually approaching the 21-week moving average, which has a critical boundary significance in our bull-bear judgment framework.$73,000 has always been an important watershed since March 2024 and is a key threshold for confirming whether this trend can reverse. Recently, Bitcoin has been fluctuating around $70,000. If it can effectively break through and stabilize above $73,000, the reversal signal will be further confirmed. Currently, various indicators are overall positive, but before the price enters this round's target range, the upward pace may still be disturbed by phase risk factors, so attention should be maintained.

The head of the ETF business at BNY Mellon stated that Bitcoin ETF fund flows have turned into net inflows this year, returning to positive territory overall. Bloomberg data shows that fund flows for all periods of spot Bitcoin ETFs have turned positive for the first time in months.Although there were outflows previously due to low coin prices and macro uncertainties, the scale was relatively limited. As of now, 12 spot Bitcoin ETFs have seen a net inflow of approximately $335 million in a single day, with a monthly cumulative inflow exceeding $2.1 billion, and a year-to-date net inflow of about $1.8 billion. Among them, BlackRock's IBIT is the largest contributor, with an inflow of about $246 million in the past day and a monthly inflow reaching $1.9 billion; meanwhile, Grayscale's GBTC still recorded some outflows.

According to Jinshi reports, the S&P 500 index has shown signs of turning upward, and market sentiment has improved.

According to Jinshi reports, the Nasdaq 100 index has turned positive, indicating a slight recovery in market sentiment.

Bloomberg senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas posted on the X platform that Bitcoin ETF fund flows have turned positive across the board, stating "all rolling periods we track are positive," marking the first time in several months. Among them, BlackRock's IBIT has seen cumulative inflows of about $3 billion, placing it in the top 1% of all ETF fund flow performances. However, Eric Balchunas pointed out that there are still several billion dollars needed to return to the historical cumulative fund flow high of $62.8 billion, but at least it indicates that the sentiment around Bitcoin ETF funds has clearly improved and market demand is recovering.

According to CoinDesk, the Bitcoin Coinbase premium index has been positive for 14 consecutive days since April 9, marking the longest bullish record since BTC reached its historical high of over $126,000 in 2025.As the preferred exchange for institutional investors in the United States, Coinbase's sustained positive premium indicates that U.S. institutions such as corporate treasuries, hedge funds, and ETFs are actively buying BTC.

According to PR Newswire, Bitmine Chairman Thomas "Tom" Lee stated, "We are seeing more and more signs that the mini crypto winter is coming to an end."With the downside risks of the US-Iran war diminishing, ETH has rebounded 41% from its low in early February. Since the outbreak of the war, ETH has outperformed the S&P 500 index by 2,280 basis points and remains the best-performing asset globally (excluding oil prices). Ethereum continues to benefit from two major positive narratives, including Wall Street's asset tokenization on the blockchain and the increasing need for public, neutral blockchains by proxy AI systems.In our view, it is significant that ETH has become the best wartime store of value and that ETH has led the market since the war began. Although many believe the crypto winter may last until the fall of 2026, our perspective remains that the crypto winter is nearing its end.Since 2015, every major crypto winter has coincided with a stock market pullback of at least 20%. In fact, the crypto pullback in 2025 occurred simultaneously with a 20% drop in the S&P 500 index. However, in 2026, the stock market pullback was more moderate, at only -8%.

Crypto market analyst Axel posted on social media that the BTC futures market saw a daily liquidation of approximately $526 million in shorts, and the open interest (OI) did not rebuild leverage after reaching a peak of 319,499 BTC, instead falling back to 293,045 BTC.The liquidation dominance indicator has turned positive after being in negative territory for two consecutive weeks, indicating the end of the systemic short squeeze phase. The current price remains stable in the range of 75,000-76,000 while OI contracts, forming a constructive structure of "cooling after a short squeeze," rather than a new round of overheating. The next focus will be whether OI will return above 300,000 BTC when the price attempts to break through.

According to Coinglass data, the Coinbase Bitcoin premium index has been positive for 9 consecutive days, currently reported at 0.0117%. The buying sentiment in the U.S. market continues to warm up, after being in negative premium for 15 consecutive days.ChainCatcher Note: The Coinbase Bitcoin premium index is used to measure the difference between the Bitcoin price on Coinbase (a mainstream trading platform in the U.S.) and the global market average price. This index is an important indicator for observing capital flows in the U.S. market, institutional investment enthusiasm, and changes in market sentiment.A positive premium indicates that the Coinbase price is higher than the global average price, which usually means: strong buying in the U.S. market, active entry of institutional or compliant funds, ample dollar liquidity, and optimistic investment sentiment. A negative premium indicates that the Coinbase price is lower than the global average price, which typically reflects: significant selling pressure in the U.S. market, decreased risk appetite among investors, rising market risk aversion, or capital outflows.

According to Coinglass data, the Coinbase Bitcoin premium index has been positive for 8 consecutive days, currently reported at 0.0401%. The buying sentiment in the U.S. market continues to warm up, after previously being in negative premium for 15 consecutive days.The Coinbase Bitcoin premium index is used to measure the difference between the Bitcoin price on Coinbase (a mainstream trading platform in the U.S.) and the global market average price. This index is an important indicator for observing the flow of funds in the U.S. market, the enthusiasm of institutional investors, and changes in market sentiment. A positive premium indicates that the Coinbase price is higher than the global average price, which usually means: strong buying in the U.S. market, active entry of institutional or compliant funds, ample dollar liquidity, and optimistic investment sentiment. A negative premium indicates that the Coinbase price is lower than the global average price, which typically reflects: significant selling pressure in the U.S. market, a decline in investors' risk appetite, an increase in market risk aversion, or capital outflow.

Tom Lee, chairman of BitMine, a company in the Ethereum treasury, stated in an interview with CNBC, "The reason the stock market remains resilient is that even in the face of war, the economy is actually performing better than expected." He pointed out that defense spending is currently about $30 billion per month and could rise to $60 billion per month in the future, which has a significant stimulating effect on the economy; meanwhile, the rise in oil prices by $20 per month only adds about $12 billion in burden to households, "Overall, the war is actually helping corporate profits right now."Tom Lee cited historical precedents, saying, "Looking back at World War II, the stock market bottomed out in May 1942, just five months after the U.S. entered the war, and at that time, no American troops had even set foot on the European or Pacific battlefields." He believes, "The market is very good at pricing in outcomes ahead of time; the current rise in the stock market means that the market is pricing in a favorable outcome, although I can't clearly articulate the specific reasons, but that's the signal conveyed by the market's performance."Regarding the three major variables in the current market— the Iran war, corporate earnings reports, and interest rates—Tom Lee stated, "Among the three, only war can create tail events in both directions, so this is the variable that deserves the closest attention." In terms of sector allocation, he remains bullish on the energy sector and pointed out that energy security is one of the most important structural themes in recent years.