quant

Gate released the private wealth management report for April 2026. The report indicates that the overall cryptocurrency market is showing a strong fluctuation due to the continuous inflow of ETF funds and expectations of interest rate cuts. In April, BTC and ETH rose approximately 11.9% and 7.3%, respectively. Among them, the net inflow of BTC ETF reached $2.44 billion in a single month, setting a new high in nearly six months, and the total management scale surpassed $100 billion for the first time, indicating a significant rebound in market risk appetite.In terms of product performance, the overall annualized return of Gate's private wealth USDT strategy is approximately 5.6%, continuing its steady performance. The "Interstellar Hedge (USDT)" has achieved a cumulative return of 18.2%, with all 22 cycles generating positive returns, achieving a win rate of 100%; the "Star Core Intelligent Investment (USDT)" has reached a maximum return rate of 9.5% in the past year; the "Gravitational Hedge (USDT)" has maintained a win rate of 100% for two consecutive years, with a maximum drawdown of only 0.01%, demonstrating outstanding risk control capability. Overall, the historical maximum drawdown of each strategy is generally controlled within 0.9%.Looking ahead, the report points out that the BTC RHODL ratio has risen to 4.5, the third highest level in history, while exchange reserves have fallen to a seven-year low, indicating an enhanced trend of long-term holding and continued supply contraction, with a generally optimistic outlook for the medium to long-term market.

According to Cointelegraph, Tezos ecosystem developers have launched a prototype of a private blockchain payment testnet called TzEL, aimed at resisting future quantum computing attacks.This prototype uses post-quantum cryptography and zk-STARK proofs to protect transaction data and encrypted payment metadata, preventing "collect then decrypt" type attacks. TzEL leverages Tezos's data availability layer to handle the larger proof sizes brought by post-quantum cryptography (approximately 300 KB), which has been one of the main technical obstacles to building scalable quantum-resistant privacy systems on-chain. TzEL is currently running on the Tezos testnet and is still in the development stage, with the transition of the Tezos ecosystem to quantum-resistant cryptography still in its early stages.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated that despite the challenges posed by the US-Iran conflict and inflationary pressures on the market, there have been recent signs of recovery in the altcoin market. He pointed out that after experiencing an overall correction of over 50%, the altcoin sector is gradually regaining activity. This round of adjustment is influenced not only by the BTC correction but also by the dilution of market tokens. Currently, there are approximately 51 million altcoins in the market, with 46% deployed on Solana, 36% on Base, and 10% from the BSC chain.He noted that the overall performance of altcoins listed on Binance has returned to levels seen since September 2025. Currently, about 21% of altcoins listed on Binance have regained their position above the 200-day moving average, while only 2% of tokens maintained above this key technical level in February of this year.Darkfost believes this indicates that market interest in altcoins is gradually rising, which is an important signal for investors looking to allocate to altcoins. However, he also emphasized that it is still too early to determine if the "altcoin season" has begun, as market liquidity remains limited.

The Bitcoin bull-bear cycle indicator from CryptoQuant has recently turned green for the first time since 2023. On-chain analyst Julio Moreno stated that this usually indicates the market is switching from a bear market structure to a recovery phase. Moreno pointed out that historically, when this indicator exits the bear market zone and enters the "Early Bull" range, it often means that the worst adjustment phase has ended and the market structure begins to repair. However, several analysts emphasize that this indicator is more suitable for judging market phase transitions rather than precise trading signals. Mati Greenspan, founder of Quantum Economics, stated that the greatest significance of such indicators lies in determining "whether Bitcoin has stopped behaving like a bear market asset," and real confirmation still requires sustained demand, improved liquidity, and prices stabilizing at key levels. Currently, Bitcoin has not effectively broken through the $82,000 resistance level. Although it has rebounded about 35% from a low of around $60,000 in February this year, the market remains in a tug-of-war state. Moreno believes that to truly confirm a bull market signal, Bitcoin needs to digest some current "weakness" indicators while facing pressure from a neutral greed-fear index and a complex macro environment. Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX and CIO of Maelstrom, believes that Bitcoin has completed a phase of bottoming around $60,000 this year. He stated that once it breaks through $90,000, the market may enter an "explosive phase," targeting the previous high of $126,000. Meanwhile, some analysts also remind that on-chain indicators like MVRV and NUPL are essentially more aligned with a "behavioral cycle framework" and should not be seen as absolute predictive tools.

According to CryptoQuant analyst MorenoDV, the Bitcoin bull-bear cycle indicator has turned into an "early bull market" signal for the first time since March 2023. Historically, this signal has appeared after 2019 and early 2023, indicating that the worst adjustment phase has passed and the market structure is beginning to recover. However, there was one exception in March 2022 when the indicator also entered the early bull market zone, but the price was subsequently rejected, confirming a local top rather than a new bull market.Regarding the current signal for May 2026, the analyst believes that Bitcoin is no longer behaving as a deeply bearish asset, and the recovery of the 30-day moving average indicates that market momentum is improving. However, several other market indicators have shown signs of fatigue, making this signal less clear than a classic early cycle confirmation. The analyst tends to believe that this is more likely a local top rather than the beginning of a new bull market, unless the price strongly confirms this trend in the future.

Bitfinex Alpha's latest report indicates that after entering May, BTC successfully broke through the dense selling pressure zone of $78,000 to $79,000, briefly approaching $83,000. This round of increase is mainly driven by spot demand rather than leveraged funds. Since May 8, the spot CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta) has significantly risen, showing that buyers are continuously taking orders and absorbing market supply.ETF capital inflows and public market increases have become the main driving forces, while long-term holders have now accumulated nearly 4 million BTC, marking the largest increase since the pandemic crash in 2020, which means that the circulating chips in the market are being further locked up. The market currently expects about a 94% probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates in June. In the context of macroeconomic uncertainty, institutional funds continue to position themselves in the crypto market.

CryptoQuant analyst Oro Crypto (@oro_crypto) stated that the adjusted spent output profit ratio (aSOPR) of Bitcoin has returned to a structurally key area. This indicator has remained above 1 for 9 consecutive trading days since May 1, indicating that the market is continuously realizing profit sales.aSOPR is used to measure whether the Bitcoin being spent on-chain is in a profit or loss state. A value greater than 1 indicates that, on average, the spent BTC is being sold at a profit, while a value less than 1 indicates that it is being handled at a loss. The significance of this signal lies in its persistence; the consecutive 9-day sequence reduces noise interference and shows that a substantial change in market structure has occurred. The last similar consecutive profit sequence appeared from October 19 to November 4, 2025, during which BTC also experienced several consecutive days of on-chain profit spending.From a market structure perspective, this indicates that Bitcoin is absorbing profit-taking selling pressure, and the price structure has not immediately deteriorated, showing that the market currently exhibits sufficient absorption capacity. This reading does not necessarily mean entering a euphoric phase, but rather indicates that the market has shifted from a loss realization environment to a phase where participants are continuously realizing profits. As long as aSOPR remains above 1, the market structure remains constructive: participants are cashing in profits while the market maintains its absorption capacity. The key failure level is clear: if the indicator continues to fall below the 1 threshold, it means the market will start handling tokens at a loss again, which would weaken the current constructive signal.Bitcoin is not only being sold again at a profit, but this process is also persistent. This persistence transforms aSOPR into a constructive signal reflecting internal market improvement, marking the most significant positive sequence since October to November 2025.

According to The Block, on-chain analytics firm CryptoQuant stated that Bitcoin has risen over 20% to a three-month high since early April, but research director Julio Moreno still views it as a "bear market rally."He pointed out that Bitcoin holders realized an average daily profit of 14,600 Bitcoins on May 4, the highest level since December 10, 2025. The spending output profit ratio for short-term holders has remained above 1 since mid-April, indicating that the market has entered a "clear profit-taking zone." Moreno noted that the 30-day rolling net profit has reached +20,000 Bitcoins, marking the first positive reading since December 22, 2025, signaling a structural turning point in bear market dynamics.However, this level is far below the typical range of 130,000 to 200,000 Bitcoins during a bull market confirmation period. The current unrealized profit margin is 18%, and historical experience suggests that high levels of unrealized profits increase the risk of a pullback. However, the demand for perpetual futures remains strong, spot demand is moderately contracting, and exchange inflows are sluggish, indicating that a pullback may take some time to materialize.

On-chain analytics firm CryptoQuant stated that with the recent price increase, profit-taking behavior in the Bitcoin market may further increase.Data shows that Bitcoin has risen over 20% since early April, but the firm still defines this market movement as a "bear market rally." The current profit metric for short-term holders remains above 1, indicating that the market has been in a continuous profit-taking phase since mid-April. Analysts believe that although selling pressure is rising, a price correction may still take time to manifest.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost tweeted that the Bitcoin market is still dominated by the futures market, with the recent bullish momentum mainly coming from investors gradually returning to the derivatives market. Although the funding rate has remained negative for several weeks, the open interest in Bitcoin has recorded its largest increase since 2026, surpassing the increase during the historical peak period of 2025.Darkfost pointed out that while this reflects a slow return of market optimism, it has also led to a more fragile market structure, where high leverage positions can easily amplify volatility and liquidation risks.

At the Consensus 2026 Miami conference, Zcash Open Development Lab CEO Josh Swihart announced that Zcash will launch a quantum recoverable wallet within a month and fully achieve post-quantum status within 12 to 18 months.Additionally, the independent scaling solution aims to achieve Mastercard/Visa-level throughput within a similar timeframe. On the user side, the Electric Coin Company's wallet has enabled cross-chain swaps from assets like BTC, SOL, and USDC to privacy ZEC through the integration of Near Intents, with approximately $600-700 million in funds flowing through this route since its launch. The Near ecosystem's 30-day processing volume is close to $800 million, with Ethereum, Solana, and Zcash being the main chains.Furthermore, the project community is discussing reducing the Zcash block time from 75 seconds to 25 seconds, and the cross-chain bridge with Solana and Hyperliquid has gone live. A voting feature for token holders will also be launched, serving as an opinion layer for the project's existing consensus model. Currently, Zcash's shielded pool accounts for 30% of the circulating supply, reaching an all-time high. Analysts believe that if this ratio continues to grow with rising prices, this round of increase will be driven by real adoption rather than mere speculation.

NEAR Protocol stated on platform X that the team is adding post-quantum cryptography support for the network. NEAR's account model is different from Bitcoin and Ethereum; accounts are decoupled from cryptography and controlled through rotatable access keys.The NEAR One team is adding the NIST-approved lattice-based signature FIPS-204 scheme as the first post-quantum signature option. Once launched, any NEAR account holder can rotate keys through a single transaction, achieving quantum safety. NEAR is also collaborating with software and hardware wallets to advance post-quantum support.Through the chain signature feature, NEAR can provide threshold signatures for over 35 chains. The NEAR Intents team is developing a quantum-safe cross-chain signature solution. If other chains progress slowly in adopting post-quantum cryptography, NEAR can offer a quantum-safe environment. Aspects such as consensus mechanisms, validators, block synchronization, and transaction signatures also need to evolve for the post-quantum era, with the goal of achieving a one-time future-compatible migration.

According to The Block, the crypto anti-quantum computing solution Project Eleven released a report warning that the critical point for quantum computers to crack modern encryption, known as "Q-Day," could arrive as early as 2030, with a probability of over 50% by 2033. The report predicts that advancements in quantum computing will be explosive rather than linear, and the combined effects of hardware and algorithms could lead to a leap in capabilities that is "either completely silent or suddenly explosive."Last month, researchers used quantum hardware to derive a 15-digit elliptic curve key. Although this is still far from cracking the 256-bit encryption used by Bitcoin, it constitutes a preliminary validation. Project Eleven estimates that approximately 6.9 million Bitcoins may face quantum risks under specific conditions.

According to The Block, quantum security startup Project Eleven released a report stating that the "Q-Day," when quantum computers could break modern encryption technology, may arrive as early as 2030, with a probability of occurring before 2033 "likely exceeding 50%." The report warns that the enhancement of quantum computing capabilities will not be a linear progression but rather a leap "from nothing to something, triggered at once." Currently, approximately 6.9 million BTC (worth over $56 billion) are at risk of quantum attacks under certain conditions.In response to the aforementioned threat, several solutions have emerged in the industry: Paradigm researcher Dan Robinson proposed using timestamp proofs to help holders recover assets on future quantum-safe versions of the Bitcoin network; the BIP-361 proposal by Jameson Lopp and others suggests establishing a multi-year migration window to guide users in transferring funds to quantum-resistant addresses. Google has also advanced its quantum-resistant encryption migration target to 2029.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost tweeted that Bitcoin has risen over 36% since the low on February 6. Meanwhile, Bitcoin's dominance has also increased, surpassing 61.3%, returning to the high since November 2025, indicating that funds are still highly concentrated in Bitcoin.In contrast, altcoins are still under pressure but have shown early signs of stabilization. TOTAL3 (the total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies excluding BTC and ETH) has increased by about 15% during the same period. Among the altcoins listed on Binance, 11.7% have returned above the 200-day moving average (only 2.3% on February 6), breaking the downward trend since October 2025.Additionally, the trading volume of altcoins on Binance has risen from 31% to 49% of the total trading volume of BTC and ETH, indicating that investor interest is slowly returning.

According to CoinGecko data, the anti-quantum sector has risen 22.4% in the past 24 hours, leading all sectors. Within the sector, ZEC has increased by 26.7%, GEEQ has risen by 7.4%, and STRK has gone up by 6.7%. The zero-knowledge sector has risen 18% in the past 24 hours, and the privacy coin sector has increased by 12.6%, ranking second and third respectively.

According to Techfundingnews, quantum chip development company QuantWare announced the completion of a $178 million Series B financing round, making it one of the largest financings in the field of quantum processors to date. This round was participated in by Intel Capital, IQT, and others.The company plans to use the funds to build the world's largest dedicated quantum chip factory and to increase the scale of quantum processors by about 10 times compared to current commercial products, with a long-term goal of achieving a hundredfold expansion. Founded in 2021 and originating from QuTech, QuantWare focuses on the design and manufacturing of quantum processing units (QPUs) and has supplied over 50 customers in more than 20 countries, making it one of the largest commercial QPU suppliers in the world. Unlike IBM, Google, and others that follow a self-research and self-use model, QuantWare positions itself as a neutral supplier, with its VIO platform supporting a modular "chiplet" architecture to help third-party companies scale quantum chips.The company stated that it will break through the scaling bottlenecks in packaging, wiring, and manufacturing of quantum computing through modular design and a dedicated factory with an approximately 20-fold increase in capacity, accelerating the development of the global quantum industry chain.

According to the Wall Street Journal, algorithm development company MicroAlgo Inc. announced the launch of a blockchain architecture based on quantum technology, which enhances transaction security and transparency by integrating quantum secure channels (QSC) and quantum key distribution (QKD).The architecture features a four-layer design, including a quantum communication layer, a blockchain core layer, a smart contract layer, and an application layer. Among these, QKD is used to achieve high-security key generation and distribution, while quantum encryption protects transaction data from theft and tampering, and also possesses resistance to quantum computing attacks.Additionally, the system strengthens long-term security through periodic key rotation and a quantum signature mechanism, and combines distributed ledger technology with a consensus mechanism to ensure data immutability and transaction verifiability, achieving a balance between security and transparency. However, the company also pointed out that there are still challenges regarding the maturity and commercialization of quantum technology, and large-scale implementation will take time.

Grayscale stated that although advanced quantum computing poses a long-term potential threat to traditional cryptography and supports all mainstream blockchains in accelerating quantum-resistant upgrades, this is not the main driver behind the recent decline in Bitcoin prices.Grayscale observed that in recent months, Bitcoin has shown a synchronized trend with the stock prices of publicly traded companies focused on quantum computing. If quantum computing breakthroughs were to exert substantial pressure on Bitcoin, the stock prices of quantum computing companies should rise, but the opposite has actually occurred. Furthermore, since October of last year, the decline in Bitcoin and quantum computing stocks mainly reflects the overall derisking of growth assets triggered by market concerns over the impact of AI.Although Bitcoin's recent correlation with investor sentiment in cutting-edge technology assets like quantum computing has increased, this has not changed its value storage function in a diversified portfolio. Investors do not need to wait for blockchain to fully complete quantum-resistant upgrades to gain relevant exposure.

According to Business Wire, the special purpose acquisition company Quantum Leap announced the completion of a $200 million initial public offering (IPO) and will trade on the NYSE under the ticker symbol "QLEPU." The raised funds will be used to support its pursuit of acquisition or merger transactions in areas such as artificial intelligence, quantum computing, and blockchain.