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BTC $79,080.98 -2.71%
ETH $2,220.56 -3.14%
BNB $673.13 -0.86%
XRP $1.43 -4.67%
SOL $89.21 -3.66%
TRX $0.3515 -0.94%
DOGE $0.1129 -2.24%
ADA $0.2606 -4.24%
BCH $424.51 -2.96%
LINK $10.02 -5.27%
HYPE $44.52 +1.60%
AAVE $92.66 -6.79%
SUI $1.09 -8.39%
XLM $0.1543 -6.17%
ZEC $515.95 -3.88%

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Analysis: Bitcoin is oscillating between favorable regulations and rising yields, with continuous outflows from ETFs putting pressure on prices

According to Decrypt, the price of Bitcoin remains around $80,350, with a short-term increase of only 0.8%, continuing to face pressure after multiple attempts to break through the $82,000 resistance level failed. This range is seen as a combined resistance level of the ETF cost line, the 200-day moving average, and the CME gap filling area. Although the U.S. CLARITY Act has passed the Senate Banking Committee, bringing positive expectations for crypto regulation, institutional funds continue to withdraw.Data shows that the net outflow of the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF has decreased to an average of -$88 million per day over the past seven days, marking the largest outflow since mid-February. Analysts believe that this round of selling pressure is more about "profit-taking" rather than panic selling. On a macro level, rising U.S. Treasury yields have become a core source of pressure. The yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond has risen to about 4.52%, reaching a 10-month high, while the April CPI has increased by 3.8% year-on-year, the highest level in three years, further delaying market expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut.Analysts point out that geopolitical conflicts are driving up energy prices, exacerbating inflationary pressures, thereby weakening the appeal of risk assets. From an institutional perspective, some analysts believe that the current outflow of ETF funds is part of portfolio rebalancing rather than a trend-based withdrawal.The options market shows that Bitcoin faces significant resistance in the $82,000-$84,000 range, while $77,000 is a key support level. If the price falls below this range and leverage does not cool down, the market may enter a deleveraging phase, increasing the risk of a correction.

Crude oil prices continue to rise, and the trading volume of Gate crude oil contracts ranks among the top in the market

According to CoinGlass data, Brent crude oil (XBR) is currently priced at $102.78, up 0.68% in 24 hours; WTI crude oil (XTI) is currently priced at $98.45, up 1.33% in 24 hours, with active trading in oil-related contracts. Among them, for XBR, the trading volume on the Gate platform is approximately $5.45 million, ranking first across the network; for XTI, the trading pair XTI/USDT has a 24-hour trading volume of approximately $3.4613 million, maintaining high market attention, reflecting the platform's liquidity and product advantages in the oil derivatives market.In addition, Gate has renamed the trading symbol for the XBR perpetual contract to BZ and officially launched the BZ perpetual contract; at the same time, the trading symbol for the XTI perpetual contract has been renamed to CL and officially launched the CL perpetual contract. This only involves adjustments to the trading symbols, while the contract underlying and trading rules remain unchanged. Gate will further improve the product system for oil derivatives on the platform.Gate contracts have taken the lead in the oil market, pioneering the commodity contract sector, covering XBRUSDT (Brent crude oil) and WTIUSDT (WTI crude oil) perpetual contract trading, providing 24/7 trading, USDT settlement, and up to 100 times leverage, assisting users in cross-market asset allocation and strategic layout in volatile markets.

JPMorgan: Without stronger network activity, Ethereum and altcoins may continue to underperform Bitcoin

JPMorgan analysts pointed out in their latest report that although the overall cryptocurrency market has recovered after the Iran conflict, Ethereum and other altcoins continue to underperform compared to Bitcoin. The analyst team led by Managing Director Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou stated that this trend, which began in 2023, "is unlikely to change unless we see meaningful improvements in network activity, DeFi, and real-world applications."The analysts noted that since the conflict triggered a market sell-off, Bitcoin's recovery in spot ETF fund flows and institutional futures positions has outperformed Ethereum. The spot Bitcoin ETF has recovered about two-thirds of the previous outflows, while the spot Ethereum ETF has only recovered about one-third. CME futures positions also indicate that institutional investors are rebuilding their Bitcoin exposure more aggressively than Ethereum.Regarding the upcoming Ethereum upgrades (Glamsterdam and Hegota), analysts questioned whether they would be sufficient to improve ETH's relative performance. Upgrades over the past three years have primarily reduced Layer 2 transaction costs, which has weakened the Ethereum network's fee generation and token burn mechanisms, leading to an accelerated net supply growth and weakened price support. Whether the new upgrades can generate enough new demand and network activity remains to be seen.For altcoins, analysts believe that since 2023, weak liquidity conditions, low market depth and breadth, limited growth in DeFi activity, and recurring hacking and security incidents have collectively eroded market confidence and hindered the deployment of new capital.
18 hours ago

JPMorgan: Ethereum and altcoins may continue to underperform Bitcoin unless network activity improves significantly

According to The Block, JPMorgan analysts have stated that despite the overall recovery of the cryptocurrency market following the Iran conflict, Ethereum and altcoins continue to underperform Bitcoin. The analysts believe that unless there is a substantial improvement in network activity, DeFi, and real-world applications, this trend that began in 2023 is unlikely to change.The analysts pointed out that the spot Bitcoin ETF has recovered about two-thirds of the previously withdrawn funds, while the spot Ethereum ETF has only recovered about one-third. CME futures positions indicate that institutions are rebuilding their Bitcoin exposure more aggressively than Ethereum, with Bitcoin futures positions nearly fully restored, while Ethereum futures positions remain below previous levels.The analysts also questioned whether the upcoming Ethereum upgrade could effectively boost network activity. They noted that upgrades over the past three years have primarily reduced Layer 2 transaction costs, leading to lower Ethereum network fees, a weakened token burn mechanism, and accelerated net supply growth, which has undermined ETH's price support.Regarding altcoins, the analysts pointed out that poor liquidity, insufficient market depth, limited growth in DeFi activity, and repeated hacking incidents have eroded confidence and hindered the allocation of new capital.
20 hours ago
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