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SemiAnalysis: Changxin Storage has become the fourth largest DRAM manufacturer in the world, and will not break the super cycle of storage shortages in the short term

The semiconductor research institution SemiAnalysis has released a latest analysis indicating that Changxin Memory Technologies (CXMT) has clearly become the world's fourth largest DRAM manufacturer. Although its production capacity and cash flow are continuously growing, the institution believes that Changxin Memory still faces multiple challenges in equipment, technology, and market, and will not end the current storage "super cycle" in the short term.In terms of specific challenges, export controls on advanced semiconductor manufacturing equipment (such as EUV, advanced etching, and TSV tools) severely restrict Changxin's expansion into more advanced processes and high bandwidth memory (HBM) fields; although domestic equipment (such as Zhongwei Company, Northern Huachuang, etc.) has alleviated some pressure, it cannot fully resolve the integration and yield bottlenecks across multiple process links, resulting in its technology still lagging behind leading manufacturers by several generations. Additionally, Changxin's market share is currently still highly concentrated in the Chinese domestic market, with global expansion limited by geopolitical factors and customers' willingness to diversify their supply chains.In response to market concerns that Changxin might "impact the global market with cheap chips," SemiAnalysis clarified that there is currently a severe structural shortage in the DRAM market, and the increase in Changxin's production capacity may even struggle to fully meet domestic demand in China. In fact, the prices of Chinese memory chips are also soaring significantly, in line with the global upward trend, and Changxin is similarly a beneficiary of the shortage premium. Therefore, Changxin Memory should be viewed as a long-term structural competitive force, and in the current context of accelerated AI demand and constrained supply, it cannot shake the fundamental super cycle dominated by leading manufacturers in the short term.

Kraken's parent company completes the acquisition of Bitnomial, officially opening up the U.S. cryptocurrency derivatives business

According to The Block, Kraken's parent company Payward has announced the completion of its acquisition of Bitnomial, marking its official compliance qualifications to provide cryptocurrency derivatives services in the United States.After the transaction is completed, Payward will hold a complete licensing system issued by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), including futures commission merchant (FCM), designated contract market (DCM), and derivatives clearing organization (DCO), allowing it to offer spot margin, perpetual contracts, and options trading services to eligible U.S. customers. Payward and Kraken co-CEO Arjun Sethi stated that the company will prioritize launching spot margin products on the Kraken platform, followed by a gradual rollout of perpetual contracts and options products.Bitnomial, headquartered in Chicago, is one of the few platforms in the U.S. with a complete cryptocurrency derivatives licensing system. After the acquisition, it will retain its original licenses and business structure and serve as the core vehicle for Payward's U.S. derivatives strategy.Additionally, Payward stated that this transaction will provide new access channels to the U.S. cryptocurrency derivatives market for partners such as banks, brokerages, and payment institutions. Previously, the company also received a $200 million investment from Deutsche Börse Group and has submitted a confidential listing application to the SEC.

Payward plans to acquire Bitnomial for $550 million, accelerating its layout in the U.S. compliant derivatives market

Cryptocurrency exchange Kraken's parent company Payward announced that it will acquire 100% of the digital asset derivatives platform Bitnomial for up to $550 million (cash + stock). The transaction is expected to be completed in the first half of 2026, pending regulatory approval.Bitnomial is the first crypto-native platform to obtain all three U.S. derivatives licenses (designated contract market, derivatives clearing organization, and futures commission merchant). This acquisition will help Payward quickly gain a complete compliant derivatives infrastructure, significantly accelerating its expansion in the U.S. market. After the transaction is completed, Bitnomial's clearing and trading capabilities will be integrated with platforms such as Kraken and NinjaTrader, offering products like spot margin, perpetual contracts, and options to U.S. customers, and will be regulated by the CFTC.This acquisition will also expand Payward Services, allowing banks, fintech companies, and brokerages to access the U.S. compliant derivatives market through a single API. Industry insiders believe that with the market warming up and valuations recovering, merger and acquisition activities in the crypto industry are on the rise, as leading institutions are accelerating their transformation into comprehensive trading platforms for institutional clients by acquiring key capabilities such as compliance, custody, and derivatives.
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