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U.S. CFTC Chairman: The derivatives market will enter a new stage of development and cannot blindly follow regulatory consensus

Michael Selig, Chairman of the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), wrote in The Economist that the global derivatives market is entering a new stage of development, where financial innovation needs to lead, rather than introduce regulatory models that may restrict market development.Michael Selig pointed out that for decades, derivatives (including financial contracts such as futures, options, and swaps) have been important tools for businesses, farmers, investors, and financial institutions to manage risk and optimize capital allocation. Today, the nominal value of the global derivatives market has exceeded $1.2 quadrillion, with nearly half of the market regulated by the CFTC.He stated that the United States' leadership in the derivatives field is built on generations of market competition, strong institutions, effective regulation, and an open attitude towards innovation. For a long time, global regulators have regarded the CFTC as a benchmark for efficient market regulation.Selig said, "The new era of finance needs innovation, not consensus." The United States will not introduce regulatory measures that hinder market development but will seek a balance between innovation and market efficiency. During his tenure, the U.S. will continue to play a leading role in the formulation of derivatives market rules and financial innovation, driving the market to remain competitive.

Michael Saylor: The biggest challenge for Bitcoin's future is not external competition, but the internal erosion of consensus rules

Strategy founder Michael Saylor stated that Bitcoin has gained market recognition, but the biggest challenge in the future is not external competition, but rather the erosion of consensus rules from within. He believes that Bitcoin's consensus rules are like a "constitution," determining property rights, scarcity, settlement mechanisms, and boundaries of power. Any modification of the rules for the benefit of specific groups is an infringement on the economic rights of all participants.He warned that Bitcoin is expected to grow a hundredfold in the future and become the infrastructure of the global capital market, while a single erroneous rule modification could harm markets, technologies, and economic freedoms that have yet to be born. Saylor specifically pointed out certain proposals, including BIP-110, arguing that they undermine the neutrality of the Bitcoin protocol by limiting effective paid transactions, introducing contract mechanisms, or expanding block capacity. He stated that although these proposals take different forms, they all weaken the scarcity of block space, increase network bandwidth and verification costs, expand protocol complexity, and introduce new security risks. At the same time, weakening the fee market will affect miners' income sources after block rewards continue to halve, thereby undermining the long-term security of the Bitcoin network. Furthermore, once a particular interest group is able to modify Bitcoin rules through certain means, other interest groups will follow suit, leading to long-term conflicts in protocol governance, capital outflows, slowed innovation, and deteriorating network security. Saylor called for keeping the Bitcoin base layer simple, neutral, scarce, and secure, leaving innovation to the second layer and application layer, promoting development through voluntary adoption rather than frequent modifications of the underlying protocol, and emphasized that protocol upgrades should be approached with extreme caution and only advanced when truly necessary to maintain the foundation for Bitcoin's long-term development.

The Coinbase Advisory Council warns of quantum risks to Bitcoin, the community still lacks consensus, and preparations for quantum resistance migration should be initiated immediately

The advisory committee of cryptographic experts led by Coinbase has released a report stating that Bitcoin should immediately begin preparing for potential quantum computing attacks. However, the committee did not take a clear stance on whether to freeze the millions of Bitcoins that could potentially be stolen by quantum computing in the future.It is reported that the committee members include several leading experts, such as Ethereum Foundation researcher Justin Drake, who believe that the current focus of the debate is not on how to introduce quantum-resistant signature technology, but rather on how to handle the Bitcoins that have not been migrated for a long time. One viewpoint calls for setting a deadline, after which the existing ECDSA and Schnorr signature schemes for Bitcoin will cease to be supported, and un-migrated assets will be frozen to prevent future quantum attackers from acquiring large amounts of BTC and impacting the market. Another viewpoint argues that this amounts to asset confiscation, contradicting Bitcoin's core principles of "immutability and user complete control of assets," and could set a precedent for freezing assets in the future due to regulatory pressure.The Coinbase advisory committee pointed out that the aforementioned proposals are not mutually exclusive and can be combined, but it refused to take a position on the issue of "whether to freeze legacy BTC," believing that the final decision should be governed by the Bitcoin community. At the same time, it emphasized two points: first, the technical development of quantum-resistant signature migration should be initiated immediately and should not wait for the governance debate to conclude; second, it is necessary to clearly communicate risk information to users to avoid long-term uncertainty affecting the Bitcoin ecosystem.
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