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first_img Gemini's revenue in the third quarter fell to 40.9 million USD, with trading volume decreasing by 73% year-on-year

Cryptocurrency exchange Gemini announced its third-quarter financial report, with total revenue for the quarter at $40.9 million, a year-over-year decrease of 19% and a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 10%, compared to $50.6 million in the same period last year. The net loss narrowed to $58.6 million, down from nearly $160 million in the same period last year and $107.7 million in the second quarter. After the financial report was released, Gemini Space Station Inc. (GEMI) saw its stock price rise 6.5% in after-hours trading to $2.79, but the cumulative decline for the year remains around 75%.The trading business is under significant pressure. Affected by the drop in trading volume from $16.4 billion in the same period last year to $4.5 billion, exchange business revenue fell 47% to $13.4 million, although trading volume increased by 18% quarter-over-quarter. Revenue from credit card operations decreased by 4% quarter-over-quarter to $15.5 million, while platform assets grew from $8.4 billion in the second quarter to $13.4 billion. Operating expenses decreased by 30% year-over-year to approximately $120 million. CEO Tyler Winklevoss stated that operating expenses have decreased for the third consecutive quarter, maintaining spending discipline while investing in growth.Forecasting market operations became a highlight, contributing $800,000 in revenue for the quarter, a quarter-over-quarter increase of 52%. The company is pushing to open its exchange and clearinghouse to brokers wishing to offer event contracts and signed a letter of intent with Apex Fintech Solutions in August to provide cryptocurrency event contracts, although this deal has not yet been finalized. President Cameron Winklevoss stated that Gemini 2 bets on platforms that can sustain themselves long-term will control the underlying regulated infrastructure.

In October, the core CPI in the United States exceeded expectations for three consecutive months, with rising costs in energy, services, and AI increasing pressure for interest rate hikes

Inflation data for October in the United States sends multiple warning signals. The data shows that the core CPI rose by 0.3% month-on-month, higher than the market expectation of 0.2%, exceeding expectations for the third consecutive month; the overall CPI rose by 0.4% month-on-month, also above expectations. The impact of rising energy prices is spreading to areas such as food and transportation, and service inflation remains robust, further complicating the Federal Reserve's efforts to control inflation.Specifically, food prices in the U.S. rose by 0.5% month-on-month in October, with grocery prices recording the largest monthly increase since April; urban transportation service prices saw the largest monthly increase since 2020, and prices for airline tickets and delivery services also increased. Additionally, service prices excluding energy and housing rents rose by 0.4% month-on-month, while owners' equivalent rent increased by 0.3%.AI investments are bringing new cost pressures. Over the past three months, the annualized price increase for computers and peripheral devices in the U.S. reached 25%, and electricity prices rose by 0.9% month-on-month in October, marking the largest increase in six months. Morgan Stanley estimates that AI-related factors have contributed about 6 basis points to the core CPI this year, with the current impact still relatively limited, but as data center investments expand, related pressures may rise further.In terms of monetary policy, Chicago Fed President Goolsbee described the latest inflation data as approaching an alarming level. Fed Governor Waller previously stated that if the core CPI month-on-month increase reaches 0.3% or higher, the December meeting should consider raising interest rates by 50 basis points. Goldman Sachs has included a forecast for an additional 25 basis point increase in March 2027, expecting that the target range for the federal funds rate will rise to 4.25% to 4.50%. However, some economists warn that there is a lag in the transmission of energy prices, and over-reliance on current data may lead to excessive tightening of monetary policy.

Glassnode: Bitcoin has fallen below the cost basis for short-term holders, with stablecoin supply decreasing by 14.2 billion USD over 30 days

Glassnode posted on platform X that Bitcoin has fallen below the short-term holder cost price of $75,600, underperforming compared to U.S. stocks, and the funds that could drive its rise are continuously flowing out. Currently, about 35% of short-term holders are in profit, with sellers averaging small losses.In terms of capital, the total supply of stablecoins has decreased by $14.2 billion over the past 30 days, marking the fastest contraction since June 2022; the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF has seen a net outflow of $1.6 billion over the past 20 trading days; excluding the impact of USDT falling below $1, the 30-day average premium on Coinbase has remained negative, with the discount being the deepest since February. On the macro front, the two-year U.S. Treasury yield is at 4.75%, which is 75 basis points higher than the current 4% rate of the Federal Reserve, indicating that the bond market expects further rate hikes, but it is far from the level of 244 basis points in June 2022.However, there are also positive signals, as the decline has cleared most of the long leverage near the price, with the largest concentration of liquidations located between $59,500 and $62,600; since the sell-off on November 5, buy orders within a 5% price range in the Binance and Coinbase spot order books have consistently outnumbered sell orders; wallets holding between 100 to 1,000 BTC and 1,000 to 10,000 BTC have started to accumulate over the past week.Glassnode stated that if it returns to $75,600, it will support the judgment of a trend reversal in August; if it continues to fall below $73,000, it may enter a longer period of consolidation; if it closes below the June low of $58,500, the trend reversal since August will be broken.

first_img Brian Hong joined the social trading application fomo, responsible for the Asia-Pacific region

Brian Hong announced that he has joined the social trading application fomo, responsible for the Asia-Pacific region. Brian Hong previously publicly identified as the head of growth for consumer blockchain Abstract in the Asia-Pacific region. He stated that many high-quality trading ideas around the world have never left the language in which they were originally written; traders in Seoul and New York can focus on the same asset for months but do not have access to each other's work. Both parties see the same prices, but the ideas behind the trades remain trapped in circles separated by language, local communities, and existing information flows.He wrote that for nearly a decade, he has been connecting products, services, and information between the East and West. Products are now easier to cross borders, but ideas are not; he feels this most acutely in the market, where some ideas with significant upside potential remain confined to a single language and community. He stated that fomo is the first product that makes him feel this situation can change, as it does not require consideration of chains or cross-chain bridges; it faces a single market where information flow shows what people are actually buying. A trade does not need translation; ideas from Seoul can reach New York on their own, with attribution remaining with the originator.Brian Hong expressed that this feeling has not faded, and he agrees with fomo's direction and development team, and will help grow a product he already uses daily. He referred to the Asia-Pacific as the most important region for this matter, but the Asia-Pacific is not a single location; the languages, cultures, and platforms differ. Most of what happens here exists in communities that are not visible to the outside world. Introducing users is only part of the work; a larger part is putting ideas that the world has yet to see onto the same map. He has opened private messages to traders, large players, creators, and chain builders in the region.
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