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BTC $62,721.58 -1.44%
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SOL $75.62 -0.45%
TRX $0.3333 -0.57%
DOGE $0.0695 -1.10%
ADA $0.1821 -1.68%
BCH $205.47 -4.39%
LINK $8.77 +0.83%
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ZEC $488.65 -1.44%

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Data: The high-position chips of BTC in 2025 have decreased by 41.5%, and the market's maximum supply pressure may be easing

On-chain analyst Murphy stated that currently, all chips bought in BTC in 2025 are basically in a state of loss. Therefore, apart from wallet migrations, the reduction in the scale of 2025 chips likely means that holders are cutting losses and selling. Data shows that as of now, approximately 4.77 million BTC chips bought in 2025 remain, a decrease of 41.5% from the peak in December last year.From the downward trend, this group has experienced two phases: a rapid decrease in chips before February this year, and a significant slowdown in the rate of decline after February, although it still maintains a certain slope. Murphy believes that the 2025 chips may be the largest potential supply side in the current market scale. In contrast, the BTC chips formed in 2024, 2023, and 2022 have basically completed the release of high-level locked positions due to still having unrealized gains, and the slope of the curve is gradually flattening, indicating that the selling pressure from long-term holders is weakening.Historical data shows that during the bottom phases of the past two bear markets, high-level chips have shown a significant decline: at the bottom of the bear market in 2022, the chips bought at high levels in 2021 decreased by about 51%; at the bottom of the bear market in 2018, the chips bought at high levels in 2017 decreased by about 62%. If we refer to historical cycles, Murphy believes that in this bear market bottom phase, the reduction of high-level chips in 2025 may be in the range of 50%-60%, and the current decline of 41.5% indicates that there is still some room for release. However, this judgment has not yet considered the BTC bought by institutional investors such as spot ETFs and MicroStrategy, as this portion of chips is mostly in a long-term locked state, which may reduce the actual market supply pressure.

Nansen founder: Bitcoin will never drop below $60,000 again, there are no signs of an end to the global monetary easing cycle

Nansen founder and CEO Alex Svanevik stated that Bitcoin's current price of around $60,000 may have marked the low point of this cycle. "Personally, I don't think Bitcoin will go below $60,000 again; I believe that's in the past, and I think it's forever." Alex Svanevik said this judgment is based on Bitcoin's positioning as a hedge against global central bank currency expansion, and he has not seen signs that the global monetary easing cycle is about to end. At the same time, the crypto industry is undergoing a fundamental transformation; crypto assets were previously in the toy world of blockchain and are now entering the real world era.In terms of the public chain ecosystem, Svanevik holds a long-term bullish view on Solana, stating that the perception of it as merely a meme coin chain is completely absurd. He believes Solana has "possibly the most effective BD team" and "an incredible team." However, Svanevik declined to translate this judgment into a specific price prediction for SOL—"Intuitively, I would think it will rise, but I can't be sure." Svanevik is also optimistic about the Robinhood chain, which just launched in July this year, believing it is rising as a strong competitor to Base due to its excellent user distribution capabilities. However, he judges that Robinhood is unlikely to issue a token—on one hand, it doesn't need to, and on the other hand, as a publicly traded company on NASDAQ, issuing a token would logically contradict competing with its own stock, "All value should be directed to HOOD stock."
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