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BTC $79,086.74 -2.81%
ETH $2,223.31 -3.29%
BNB $673.10 -1.15%
XRP $1.43 -7.00%
SOL $89.53 -4.12%
TRX $0.3519 -0.75%
DOGE $0.1130 -2.86%
ADA $0.2609 -5.28%
BCH $426.07 -2.77%
LINK $10.07 -5.68%
HYPE $44.82 +1.00%
AAVE $93.10 -6.87%
SUI $1.10 -9.07%
XLM $0.1545 -6.75%
ZEC $522.37 -1.97%

profits

CryptoQuant: Bitcoin aSOPR has been above 1 for 9 consecutive days, and the market continues to realize profits and sell

CryptoQuant analyst Oro Crypto (@oro_crypto) stated that the adjusted spent output profit ratio (aSOPR) of Bitcoin has returned to a structurally key area. This indicator has remained above 1 for 9 consecutive trading days since May 1, indicating that the market is continuously realizing profit sales.aSOPR is used to measure whether the Bitcoin being spent on-chain is in a profit or loss state. A value greater than 1 indicates that, on average, the spent BTC is being sold at a profit, while a value less than 1 indicates that it is being handled at a loss. The significance of this signal lies in its persistence; the consecutive 9-day sequence reduces noise interference and shows that a substantial change in market structure has occurred. The last similar consecutive profit sequence appeared from October 19 to November 4, 2025, during which BTC also experienced several consecutive days of on-chain profit spending.From a market structure perspective, this indicates that Bitcoin is absorbing profit-taking selling pressure, and the price structure has not immediately deteriorated, showing that the market currently exhibits sufficient absorption capacity. This reading does not necessarily mean entering a euphoric phase, but rather indicates that the market has shifted from a loss realization environment to a phase where participants are continuously realizing profits. As long as aSOPR remains above 1, the market structure remains constructive: participants are cashing in profits while the market maintains its absorption capacity. The key failure level is clear: if the indicator continues to fall below the 1 threshold, it means the market will start handling tokens at a loss again, which would weaken the current constructive signal.Bitcoin is not only being sold again at a profit, but this process is also persistent. This persistence transforms aSOPR into a constructive signal reflecting internal market improvement, marking the most significant positive sequence since October to November 2025.

Report: Polymarket may have a broader insider trading issue, with a few wallets capturing most of the profits

The latest report from the non-profit research organization Anti-Corruption Data Collective (ACDC) indicates that the prediction market platform Polymarket may have broader insider trading issues than the previously reported "Green Beret Bet on the Venezuela Raid."The research analyzed 435,000 settled markets from January 2021 to mid-March 2026, with a total trading volume of $54.4 billion, and found that low-probability bets related to government decision-making in military and defense markets had abnormally high success rates. Data shows that the average success rate for such "long-shot bets" in political markets is about 14%, while in some cases of military-related contracts, the success rate exceeds 50%. The study suggests that these markets are difficult to predict based solely on public information and are more susceptible to information asymmetry, including insider trading or professional information advantages.The report also points out that Polymarket's profits are highly concentrated. Research from the London Business School and Yale University shows that about 3% of traders contribute to most of the platform's price discovery; blockchain analytics firm Solidus Labs found that less than 1% of wallets accounted for about half of the profits. For example, in the case of the U.S. airstrike on Iran in June 2025, just hours before the attack, 19 low-probability bets totaling $164,000 concentrated on buying the ultimately realized "YES" contract, with 8 wallets collectively profiting about $1.8 million, including one wallet that made nearly $500,000.Despite the Pentagon's efforts to conceal the operation through decoy bombers and stealth fighters, a few traders accurately predicted the outcome. ACDC recommends that Polymarket strengthen identity verification, set conditional payments for suspicious bets, limit markets where results are determined by a few individuals, and reduce overly detailed contract designs. The report further calls for a broader discussion on whether the public should be allowed to bet on such events.

Forbes criticizes Eric Trump for making large profits through Bitcoin business, harming MAGA investors

Forbes published an article criticizing Eric Trump's Bitcoin business as a disaster, pointing out that Eric Trump promotes his Bitcoin company American Bitcoin (ABTC) as a money printer, but in reality, it is just an arbitrage tool designed to exploit investors who support MAGA (Make America Great Again). American Bitcoin was established in 2025 and quickly went public on NASDAQ, leveraging the Trump family brand and the Bitcoin craze to push its valuation to $13.2 billion.Eric Trump vigorously promoted the company as the "leader in the Bitcoin world" during the earnings call, but the actual company has only a few full-time employees and mainly relies on story marketing rather than solid operations. The company continuously sells overvalued stock to buy Bitcoin, while Eric has almost no investment, yet has increased his personal wealth from about $190 million to $280 million, with other insiders also profiting significantly.Meanwhile, ordinary investors, especially MAGA supporters, have suffered heavy losses. Over the past eight months, American Bitcoin's stock has dropped about 92% from its peak, resulting in cumulative losses of about $500 million for investors. Forbes questions the actual profitability of American Bitcoin's Bitcoin mining business, believing that its advertised "half-price mining" is difficult to achieve and is more about using the Trump brand for high-priced stock dumping.
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