cryptocurrencies

Arthur Hayes posted on the X platform stating that his article "Yen-quake" will introduce how Buffalo Bill Bessent plans to manipulate the USD/JPY exchange rate and restart the currency printing press. Arthur Hayes mentioned that the continuous weakening of the yen over the past decade has driven up global asset markets, but this situation will eventually come to an end. The yen is the lowest valued currency globally and is also a focal point of controversy among the two major powers, the United States and China, as well as ordinary Japanese voters.There are three ways to address the yen issue, but the U.S. Treasury and Japanese politicians only lean towards one of them. He will explain the operational mechanisms of each method for yen appreciation and why the last option is the preferred solution; he will also discuss how to politically implement the third option. He stated that as U.S. dollar liquidity rises significantly, Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies will increase.The three options include: 1. The Bank of Japan significantly raises interest rates, eliminating the interest rate differential between the dollar and the yen at least on the short end. 2. The government persuades domestic institutions and public entities like GPIF to change their investment mandates, selling overseas assets and buying local assets. 3. Preferred option: The Japanese Ministry of Finance hands over its U.S. Treasury holdings to the Federal Reserve through repurchase transactions in exchange for dollars; subsequently, it sells dollars in the foreign exchange market and buys yen.Arthur Hayes stated that before delving into details, speculators should consider why the discussion of yen appreciation is happening now. For decades, many have claimed that the yen was about to appreciate, leading to the unwinding of global carry trades. Two weeks ago, monetary policy officials from the U.S. and Japan conducted a joint currency manipulation action, merely referring to it as intervention. U.S. Treasury Secretary Buffalo Bill Bessent expressed a desire to raise the counterparty limit for the FIMA repurchase mechanism so that the Japanese Ministry of Finance could utilize its vast asset reserves to defend the yen. The Japanese Ministry of Finance also stated that it is closely cooperating with the U.S. to promote a decline in the USD/JPY exchange rate. Relevant officials are conveying to the market that they support changes in global currency relations, and thus the market must pay attention to this.

Ansem posted on platform X stating that he will initiate a trading tracking around PUMP and plans to hold from the current cycle bottom all the way to the market top. Ansem mentioned that when he first invested in PUMP, the price was about $0.001675, and he will currently update trading progress around $0.002544, planning to continue tracking to historical highs or even higher positions. His investment logic mainly includes: Pump.fun is one of the top three platforms in the crypto industry by revenue, with about $2 billion in cash reserves; however, due to market bias against tokenization models, the current circulating market value is about $1 billion, corresponding to a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of less than 2.8 times.Ansem believes that as on-chain activity continues to grow, especially with the further popularization of mobile applications, Pump.fun will become a beneficiary. If more retail users participate in new coin issuance through platforms like Ansem's in the future, $PUMP may have greater growth potential. He predicts that PUMP is expected to enter the top ten of crypto asset market capitalization within less than two years.

According to CryptoQuant analyst Novaque Research, the Federal Reserve voted 9 to 3 on July 29 to maintain the interest rate target range at 3.50% to 3.75%. However, maintaining the interest rate is different from cutting rates and did not bring new liquidity stimulus, and Bitcoin's internal demand indicators reflect this constraint.Novaque stated that the Coinbase premium index continues to be deeply negative, close to -0.11, indicating that Bitcoin's pricing on Coinbase is weaker than on offshore platforms, pointing to sluggish spot demand in the U.S.; total open interest remains below the 100-day moving average, and CME options exposure has significantly contracted from the peak in the first quarter; exchange reserves have rebounded from the April low to about 2.72 million BTC, indicating an increase in supply that can be sold at any time. It believes that against the backdrop of weak demand in the U.S., simply pausing interest rate hikes can only prevent further tightening and cannot create a favorable environment for price increases, and Bitcoin prices will remain under pressure in the short term.

A research report published by Blockworks Research shows that among the 1,972 tokens that first broke through a circulating market value of $50 million between January 2020 and December 2025, only 4.1% outperformed Bitcoin as of June 2026. Among tokens with at least 24 months of historical data, this percentage drops to 1.7%. The median token in the full sample has lost 97% since entering the statistics.The report points out that the token market presents a pyramid structure with a "wider base and thinner top." The number of tokens with a market value exceeding $1 million reached a historical high of 3,648 in December 2024, but the tier with a market value exceeding $250 million has continued to shrink since peaking in November 2021, with only 102 tokens above that threshold as of June 2026, about one-third of the 279 in November 2021. Among the 187 tokens that outperformed Bitcoin during the 2020-21 bull market, 86.1% have since fallen at least 90% from their peak in November 2021, with only OKB continuing to outperform Bitcoin.The report also found that token performance deteriorates more rapidly over time: 86% of tokens issued in 2024 fell below 10% of their initial price within 24 months, while the proportion for tokens from 2020 during the same period was 18%. The median peak price of new tokens after 2023 is only 0.93 times the listing price, meaning it has never exceeded the listing price, while the median peak price for 2020 tokens reached 5.1 times. Exchange tokens are the only significant over-representatives in the long-term outperforming Bitcoin group, with BNB, OKB, GT, LEO, BGB, WBT, MX, and CAKE (PancakeSwap) all outperforming Bitcoin, sharing the common feature of fee revenue being used for regular buybacks and burns. The report's authors state that the crypto market is shifting from a broad token expansion to a pattern driven by a few high-quality assets.

Asset management giant Franklin Templeton publicly expressed support for the CLARITY Act on platform X, stating that the act will clarify the regulatory approach to cryptocurrencies, inform investors of applicable protections, and specify which regulatory agency governs businesses. The company stated, "It's time to provide the clarity the industry needs."

The Governor of the Central Bank of Russia, Elvira Nabiullina, stated that Bill No. 1194918-8 distinguishes between qualified and non-qualified investors, and it is not only applicable to the cryptocurrency sector but is a common arrangement in regulation. Elvira Nabiullina mentioned that the scope for non-qualified investors is more limited because the government protects them through legislation to avoid risks they do not understand.She pointed out that the relevant measures also cover the crypto ecosystem, due to reasons including the volatility of the crypto market and the possibility that foreign digital assets may be seized due to their association with Russia. Bill No. 1194918-8 is expected to take effect on September 1 and will be implemented simultaneously with the launch of the digital ruble. The bill stipulates that the purchase limit for non-qualified investors in cryptocurrencies is 300,000 rubles, approximately $3,800, while the limit for qualified investors is ten times that amount.Elvira Nabiullina stated that the Russian crypto ecosystem remains open, and the repatriation and transfer of digital assets abroad are not restricted. She noted that investors will not be protected by Russian law after receiving relevant assets abroad, and any issues must be resolved within foreign jurisdictions.

According to TASS, the Governor of the Central Bank of Russia, Elvira Nabiullina, stated that there are no restrictions on transferring cryptocurrencies from Russia to overseas for all categories of investors, but investors should be aware that such operations currently lack legal protection.

The Governor of the Bank of Tanzania, Emmanuel Tutuba, stated that the bank is completing the formulation of regulatory laws and regulations for digital assets, covering virtual assets, cryptocurrencies, and stablecoins, to enhance regulation and supervision.Emmanuel Tutuba mentioned that many young people are investing in related fields, and the central bank has received complaints from individuals who have incurred losses in cryptocurrency-related transactions. The relevant rules will be used to protect Tanzanian investors. He stated that the new regulations will also address the risks of money laundering, terrorist financing, and other illegal activities related to virtual assets, ensuring that entities involved in related activities operate according to the guidelines that will be released soon.

According to The Block, the South Korean Ministry of Economy and Finance is formulating a basic law for asset management of state-owned assets, aimed at effectively managing new asset classes including cryptocurrencies.

The South Korean stock market continues its downward trend, with the KOSPI index dropping 4% during the day, and SK Hynix falling over 7%. The continuous decline in the stock market seems to have started to deter retail investors in South Korea, with a noticeable flow of funds back into the cryptocurrency market.According to Coingecko data, the largest CEX in South Korea, Upbit, has a trading volume of $4.26 billion in the last 24 hours, an increase of 1663%. The top 5 cryptocurrencies by trading volume on this CEX are: Bitcoin, XRP, USDT, ETH, and XEC.

Forbes has selected 10 cryptocurrencies worth investing in based on the utility or value storage attributes of the tokens, combined with indicators such as performance over the past 7 days and 24-hour trading volume. The selected projects all have a market capitalization exceeding $5 billion, namely BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, SOL, TRON (TRX), HYPE, RAIN, LEO, and Zcash (ZEC).Forbes states that Bitcoin and Ethereum are widely regarded as the "gold and silver" of the cryptocurrency world, with current market capitalizations of approximately $1.289 trillion and $21.647 billion, respectively, accounting for about 68% of the entire crypto market. In its selection methodology, Forbes considered the fundamental use of each crypto asset, excluding stablecoins, wrapped crypto assets, liquid staking tokens, and meme coins, focusing on projects with clear investment logic that are expected to appreciate as adoption and utility increase.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated that currently about 40% of altcoins are near historical lows. Indicators show that the prices of these tokens have fallen within 25% above their historical lows, reflecting that the altcoin market is in an extremely weak state.Darkfost noted that when Bitcoin fell below $60,000 in late June, this ratio once rose to 45%. The latest data shows that this ratio is approximately 39.9%.He also pointed out that the current market environment has changed significantly. CMC statistics indicate that there are about 53.5 million existing cryptocurrencies, and approximately 60,000 new tokens are still emerging daily. In the absence of strong incremental liquidity, most cryptocurrencies will face the risk of failure.

According to the latest data from CoinMarketCap, in the past 90 days among the top 100 cryptocurrencies by market cap, 35 cryptocurrencies have risen, and 65 have fallen, with the majority experiencing a decline.Among them, 6 cryptocurrencies have risen over 150%, with Binance Life leading at a rise of 886.58%, followed by BEAT at 775.32%, and DEXE, JTO, GWEI, and LIT rising by 188.26%, 170.90%, 152.81%, and 151.99% respectively. During the same period, 15 cryptocurrencies rose over 50%, 43 fell over 10%, and 19 fell over 20%.In terms of mainstream coins, BTC fell by 8.20%, ETH fell by 15.88%, BNB fell by 2.78%, XRP fell by 13.22%, and SOL slightly rose by 0.93%. On the list of biggest declines, M, ZRO, BCH, WLFI, and TRUMP all fell by over 40%.

According to Bloomberg, the Federal Police of Brazil simultaneously carried out law enforcement actions in multiple locations in São Paulo to implement the sanctions resolution previously issued by the U.S. Department of the Treasury, targeting cross-border money laundering gangs serving the Brazilian gang "First Command of the Capital (PCC)."This operation executed 11 temporary arrest warrants and conducted 13 searches and seizures, involving two core individuals who have been placed on the sanctions list by the U.S. authorities. As ruled by the court, a total of 1.04 billion reais (equivalent to 200 million dollars) in funds, physical assets, and cryptocurrencies associated with the individuals involved have been frozen.The individual involved, Stella Stefanie Nunes Henrique de Oliveira, has been arrested by the police, while another suspect, Victor Henrique de Oliveira Shimada, is currently at large. U.S. authorities accuse the two of establishing multi-layered financial channels, relying on cryptocurrency transfers, cash transportation, and large transfers between public and private accounts to move criminal proceeds. The suspects will face multiple charges including conspiracy, money laundering, and illegal cross-border transfer of funds.

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) reiterated its support for a regulatory strategy of "containment and a tendency to prohibit" regarding crypto assets in a document submitted to the Parliamentary Standing Committee on Finance, stating that "prohibition" remains one of the policy options recognized by the international regulatory framework. The RBI suggested that banks and other regulated financial institutions should not hold, trade, or provide exposure to crypto assets and privately issued stablecoins to avoid potential contagion risks to the financial system.The RBI stated that implementing traditional financial regulation on crypto assets could mislead the market, granting "legitimacy" to speculative assets that lack actual economic value and creating a false sense of security for users. The RBI also warned that the widespread use of stablecoins could undermine India's monetary sovereignty, weaken the transmission mechanism of monetary policy, disrupt the payment system, and pose risks to financial stability. Therefore, it recommended prioritizing the development of sovereign digital payment infrastructure such as Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC). Additionally, the RBI questioned the relevant rankings claiming "India is the country with the highest global crypto adoption rate," arguing that the data from private blockchain analytics firms has methodological flaws. It pointed out that there are currently 54 crypto service providers registered with the FIU in India, with approximately 39.3 million users who have completed KYC verification holding crypto assets worth about 20.437 billion rupees. It should be clearly distinguished between speculative crypto assets and the tokenization of real-world assets (RWA) such as government bonds and corporate bonds to avoid impacting the innovation of financial asset tokenization.

According to CoinMarketCap data, the performance of the top 100 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization is as follows: Top five gainers: MemeCore (M) up 79.2%, current price $1.21; Venice Token (VVV) up 13.15%, current price $14.28; Jupiter (JUP) up 12.02%, current price $0.2339; Morpho (MORPHO) up 10.93%, current price $2.08; Stellar (XLM) up 10.7%, current price $0.2025.

According to CoinPost, Japan's national corporate pension fund plans to start investing in cryptocurrencies in the fiscal year 2026, with an allocation ratio of about 1% of its total operating assets (approximately 21.3 billion yen).The report states that the asset allocation ratio for the fiscal year 2025 is: 80% in yen, 15% in US dollars, and 5% in other currencies. However, in the fiscal year 2026, the yen allocation ratio will decrease to 70%, and a new 10% allocation will be made for currencies from developed countries. The remaining 5% will consist of emerging market currencies, gold, and cryptocurrencies.The main purpose is to diversify currency risk. The fund's executive director, Ai Yuki, stated that due to the potential weakening of the US dollar as a benchmark currency, they decided not to increase their holdings in US dollars and instead use cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin as a hedge against currency depreciation, as Bitcoin has a lower correlation with the US dollar index.After approximately six years of investigation, the fund has determined that the cryptocurrency market has matured as the investor base has expanded. In the future, the fund will continue to explore the possibility of expanding cryptocurrency investments, including funds for arbitrage trading of various cryptocurrencies.

Kalshi Data posted on platform X that Kalshi's weekly cryptocurrency trading volume has surpassed $1 billion for the first time; Kalshi's weekly perpetual contract notional trading volume reached nearly $6 billion, setting a new historical record.