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Robinhood's second-quarter revenue is expected to reach $123 million, potentially surpassing cryptocurrency trading income

According to Dr. Crossroads' analysis, Robinhood's event prediction market revenue is expected to surpass its traditional cryptocurrency trading revenue as early as the second quarter of this year. Data shows that as of June 25, Robinhood has recorded approximately 12.3 billion event contract trades in the second quarter. Based on the usual 1 cent per contract revenue share, this is expected to contribute at least $123 million in single-quarter revenue, pushing the annualized revenue rate (ARR) of this business to $500 million. In comparison, due to the decline in institutional trading volume, its cryptocurrency business revenue in the second quarter is expected to fall below the first quarter's $134 million.At the same time, Robinhood's newly launched prediction market platform Rothera has surpassed 900 million contracts traded in its first week, bringing nearly 60% of potential contract trading increment to the company. Through Rothera's full-stack self-research and vertical integration, Robinhood plans to change the current fixed model where users pay 2 cents per contract (with the company and partner exchanges each receiving 1 cent), reducing the new fee rate to a minimum of 0.6 cents. This move aims to sprint into the top three in the industry through core price advantages while retaining the economic benefits of trade execution entirely within its ecosystem while passing savings on to users.

The Hyper Foundation grants approximately 10 million USD to support the USDH exit migration, covering HIP-1, 3, and HyperEVM ecological projects

The Hyper Foundation announced that it will provide approximately $10 million in grants to developers affected by the USDH exit, to cover migration costs and support an orderly transition of the ecosystem. This round of funding will be allocated to affected HIP-1 spot deployers, HIP-3 perpetual contract deployers, HyperEVM protocol, USDH:USDC cross-chain bridge, and other ecosystem participants.Among them, migration grants are aimed at teams migrating USDH-related markets or deployments to USDC; while exit grants are for projects that choose to terminate USDH-related businesses, with amounts lower than equivalent migration plans, to encourage a smooth conclusion of the ecosystem. HIP-1 and HIP-3 grants are based on auction deployment cost estimates, while HyperEVM grants are assessed based on the scale of USDH TVL affected. All beneficiaries must complete migration or business closure by the end of July.On the user side, USDH holders need to operate according to the guidelines of each protocol and can complete the exchange to USDC through the spot market or HyperEVM path. The official has provided support for asset conversion with no fees or spot trading channels. The Hyper Foundation also stated that the USDH migration is progressing smoothly, thanks to the active cooperation of developers and the community, and expressed gratitude to the relevant builders.

Polymarket's annual revenue exceeds 1 billion dollars

According to CNBC, Polymarket stated that its annual revenue has significantly exceeded $1 billion, a development that comes just six weeks after its U.S. trading platform lifted the waiting list. The platform operates independently from its international DeFi prediction market and will gradually expand user access after its launch in December this year.Driven by the FIFA World Cup, the trading activity in the prediction market has significantly increased, with trading volumes across multiple platforms rising simultaneously. Data shows that the daily trading volume on the U.S. platform has grown from about $50 million in mid-May to over $200 million on June 20 (based on Dune Analytics data).Meanwhile, its international platform set a record for weekly trading volume during the World Cup, reversing the downward trend seen in April and May. The U.S. business was previously restricted due to regulatory issues in 2022, but resumed operations in the form of a regulated exchange after the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and the Department of Justice dropped their investigation and did not file charges in 2024.Currently, the U.S. platform is primarily mobile-based, requiring users to download the app via a QR code to trade, with the desktop version not yet available. Polymarket stated that it will continue to optimize market experience, liquidity, and product design to enhance both institutional and consumer-level experiences in the prediction market.

PhotonPay releases the "2026 Global Business White Paper on Gaming: From Traffic Growth to Revenue Realization"

Focusing on the next-generation global payment operating system driven by stablecoins, PhotonPay today officially released the "2026 Global Game Operation White Paper: From Traffic Growth to Revenue Realization." The report reveals a significant pain point in the industry that is severely eroding the profits of global game publishers: despite the top 100 mobile games worldwide capturing 57% (approximately $46.6 billion) of the mobile market revenue, the extreme fragmentation of backend payment channels is causing a substantial loss of transactions globally, leaving countless overseas game developers in the awkward position of "having revenue but unable to cash out."To address this pain point, PhotonPay has launched a multi-route aggregated payment network that can automatically convert players' local fiat currency payments into compliant on-chain stablecoins at the backend. This solution achieves second-level clearing and real-time settlement in over 200 countries and regions worldwide without altering the players' native payment experience.It is reported that PhotonPay is a stablecoin-driven global financial infrastructure operating system. Designed for modern enterprises and global platforms, PhotonPay empowers businesses to achieve seamless fund collection, exchange, and settlement between fiat currency and stablecoins through a single, compliance-first interface. The service network of PhotonPay covers over 200 countries and regions worldwide and holds relevant financial licenses in core global markets, aiming to reshape the efficiency boundaries of global payroll and global payments in the digital asset era.

Cboe revives S&P 500 binary options and directly enters the prediction market track, Strive has recently increased its purchase of 759 BTC against the trend according to market data analysis

According to BBX data, yesterday traditional derivatives giant made a high-profile entry into the prediction market, and a counter-cyclical signal appeared for digital asset reserve companies. The core dynamics are as follows:Cboe Global Markets, Inc. (NASDAQ: $CBOE) announced yesterday the re-launch of binary options products benchmarked to the S&P 500 index ("Yes/No" structure, providing fixed returns or zero at expiration based on contract conditions). This marks Cboe's first return to this category since it withdrew about ten years ago, directly entering the prediction market track pioneered by Polymarket and Kalshi, which has become "one of the fastest-growing areas on the internet." This move signifies that one of the largest regulated derivatives exchanges in the U.S. officially recognizes binary options/prediction markets as an independent asset class, entering the competition with the compliance endorsement of a traditional exchange and institutional distribution capabilities, rather than holding a regulatory exclusion attitude towards this model. For cryptocurrency concept stocks, Cboe's entry has dual implications: first, it further validates the market size and legitimacy of prediction markets; second, Cboe's institutional channels and Coinbase (the only licensed prediction market FCM by the CFTC) will compete in parallel under the same regulatory framework, leading to an increase in the valuation and policy attention of the entire track.Strive, Inc. (NASDAQ: $ASST) was cited in a market analysis report yesterday (pending independent confirmation from the official SEC 8-K document), stating that the company recently increased its holdings by approximately 759 BTC at an average price of about $65,850; based on this calculation, the company's BTC holdings have increased from 19,032 disclosed in the SEC 8-K on June 5 to about 19,791 (approximately $1.17 billion). This increase occurred against the backdrop of Bitcoin continuously declining from the $65,000 to $66,000 range. Strive and Strategy (which also increased its holdings by 520 BTC during the same period) are among the few DAT companies that maintained active purchases during the reporting period; CEO Matt Cole previously positioned the continuous increase in BTC as a "differentiated catch-up" to Strategy's scale advantage rather than a pure directional bet on price. The company holds approximately $139.2 million in cash, and the capital balance between the 9.5% annual dividend obligation of preferred stock (SATA) and BTC purchases is currently the most noteworthy balance sheet risk point.
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