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JPMorgan: SpaceX's inclusion in the Nasdaq 100 index could bring in $4.3 billion in passive fund inflows

According to Reuters, Nasdaq has confirmed that SpaceX (SPCX) will be included in the Nasdaq 100 Index on July 7, which may bring a wave of passive fund buying for the stock. Inclusion in the index typically boosts stock prices, as ETFs that track the performance of the relevant index need to purchase shares of newly included companies. JPMorgan expects that SpaceX's inclusion in the Nasdaq 100 Index could bring in $4.3 billion in passive fund inflows.SpaceX went public on Nasdaq on June 12. To attract more companies to list in the U.S., Nasdaq and index providers such as FTSE Russell and MSCI have previously relaxed some inclusion requirements, including profitability, days since listing, and the number of tradable shares. SpaceX has fluctuated between significant losses and small profits over the past three years, with a net loss of $4.9 billion last year.Michael Field, Chief Equity Market Strategist at Morningstar, stated, "Clearly, there is strong market demand, which is why they are quickly including it in the index." He added that many people will be satisfied with this, but some fund managers and skeptics may not agree, as Morningstar believes the stock is overvalued. Investors typically gain broader market exposure through funds that track the Nasdaq 100 Index, such as Invesco's QQQ and QQQM. Additionally, large language model companies like OpenAI and Anthropic are also expected to submit IPO applications this year or next and may seek valuations exceeding $1 trillion.However, S&P Global stated this month that it will not adjust the requirements for SpaceX to enter major indices like the S&P 500 and will consider including it in relevant indices only after at least 12 months.

SBI officially issues Japan's first trust bank-supported yen stablecoin JPYSC

Japan's financial group SBI Holdings announced the official issuance of the yen stablecoin JPYSC, with the first issuance completed. This stablecoin is managed by SBI Shinsei Trust Bank for reserve asset management, while the licensed cryptocurrency trading platform SBI VC Trade is responsible for circulation and distribution. SBI stated that JPYSC is Japan's first yen stablecoin managed by a trust bank and is also the first to be recognized as a "similar product to electronic payment means" under the Payment Services Act. Unlike the previously launched fund transfer-type stablecoins in Japan, JPYSC is not subject to a single transaction and account balance limit of 1 million yen.SBI expects that JPYSC will attract retail and institutional users with lower transaction costs and the ability to support large transactions, and it can serve as the yen-based asset for on-chain foreign exchange markets, institutional lending, and RWA (real-world asset) tokenized settlements. Currently, JPYSC is only available to SBI VC Trade account holders, with plans to expand its usage after regulatory and tax frameworks are further clarified. SBI also plans to launch JPYSC lending services.In recent years, Japan has been continuously promoting compliant stablecoins to integrate into the mainstream financial system. Following the approval of JPYC in 2025 as Japan's first legally recognized yen stablecoin, Japan's three major banks—Mitsubishi UFJ Bank (MUFG), Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation (SMBC), and Mizuho Bank—are also jointly advancing stablecoin projects, with plans to launch commercial trading in the fiscal year 2026.

JPMorgan: Bitcoin mining is becoming increasingly sensitive to price fluctuations, with more miners approaching the breakeven point

According to CoinDesk, JPMorgan's latest report indicates that as more miners operate close to breakeven, the Bitcoin mining network is showing a higher sensitivity to price changes, with the response of hash rate and mining difficulty to price fluctuations significantly enhanced. The analysis shows that the "elasticity coefficient" of mining difficulty relative to Bitcoin price changes has risen to 0.62 over the past six months, indicating that the hash rate is responding more quickly to market changes.Analysts state that Bitcoin prices have been below production costs for five consecutive months, with approximately 20% of miners currently in a loss-making position. Under profit pressure, publicly listed mining companies have increased their Bitcoin selling scale, with sales exceeding 32,000 BTC in the first quarter alone, surpassing the total for the entire year of 2025. As some high-cost mining machines shut down, the network hash rate declines, and mining difficulty adjusts accordingly.JPMorgan expects that as long as Bitcoin remains below the production cost of about $78,000, the high sensitivity of mining to price fluctuations will continue to exist. At the same time, some mining companies are turning to artificial intelligence and high-performance computing businesses to seek more stable sources of income.

JPMorgan has raised its forecast for AI infrastructure investment to $5.5 trillion, as giants like NVIDIA are turning to debt financing

J.P. Morgan strategist Tarek Hamid and his team have raised their forecast for total investment in artificial intelligence infrastructure by 2030 to $5.5 trillion in a recent research report, an increase of $400 billion from their prediction last November. The bank noted that in this investment race for super-scale data centers, approximately $4.1 trillion will come from debt financing, with loans covering an average of 85% of total project costs, indicating that AI capital expenditures have shifted to a debt market-centric financing model.Since last November, global bond issuance related to AI and data centers has exceeded $300 billion. The latest typical case comes from chip giant NVIDIA, which completed the pricing of a $25 billion investment-grade bond issuance this Monday, marking its return to the bond market for the first time in five years. This issuance was conducted in seven tranches (with maturities ranging from 2 to 30 years) and attracted oversubscription of up to $85 billion, ultimately increasing the issuance size by 25% from the initial target.The research report emphasizes that although tech giants like NVIDIA, Alphabet, and Amazon are generating substantial cash flow from the AI boom (with NVIDIA estimating free cash flow exceeding $200 billion this fiscal year), these giants still choose to issue hundreds of billions of dollars in bonds. This indicates that such bond issuance is not due to a "lack of financing," but rather that the credit market is confirming the pricing of AI assets.
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