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According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the prediction market Polymarket for the event "LoL BNK FearX Youth vs HANJIN BRION Challengers," the "Yes" option for the sub-market "Both sides kill a dragon" has experienced a dramatic fluctuation in win rate, soaring from 50% an hour ago to the current 90% (a fluctuation of 40%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to a report by Reuters, influenced by multiple factors such as the tense Sino-U.S. relations, China's push for domestic software alternatives, and U.S. export controls, Microsoft has closed at least 15 branches and joint ventures in China over the past five years, executing a strategic contraction. In 2023, the company internally considered exiting the Chinese market, as some executives believed that "the geopolitical risks outweighed the limited economic returns," but ultimately did not proceed with the exit. Microsoft disclosed in 2024 that its business in China accounted for only about 1.5% of its global revenue.The report states that Microsoft's final decision to remain in China was primarily due to the establishment of a profitable path—providing Azure cloud and AI services to Chinese companies like ByteDance and Shein, helping them operate compliantly in overseas markets. Additionally, the company believes that retaining its business in China remains strategically significant for acquiring engineering talent. However, analysts question the sustainability of this AI business model: the service relies on third-party models like OpenAI, and Chinese companies are increasingly adopting domestic alternatives like Kimi, which offer comparable performance at lower costs.Microsoft's research and development presence in China is also contracting. Its predecessor, Microsoft Research Asia, has successively established new labs in Vancouver, Singapore, and Tokyo. In 2024, the company offered job opportunities to 1,000 top engineers to relocate to the U.S. and three other countries, but only about one-third accepted, with most senior engineers moving to domestic universities and tech companies. A Microsoft spokesperson responded that the company will continue to commit to the Chinese market but did not comment on specific decision details. ByteDance and Shein did not respond to related inquiries.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the prediction market Polymarket for the event "Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers," the option "Milwaukee Brewers" in the sub-market "Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers" has experienced a dramatic fluctuation in winning probability, soaring from 40.5% an hour ago to the current 68.5% (a fluctuation of 28%). Please note the impact of relevant breaking news.

According to on-chain analyst Ai Yi's monitoring, a certain whale previously shorted Bitcoin with a scale of 114 million dollars. After three stop-losses, it added 330 BTC again in the early morning, pushing the long position to exceed 110 million dollars, reaching 1742 BTC, with an opening average price updated to 63709 dollars.Currently, the floating profit is 292,000 dollars, and it has earned 118,000 dollars through funding fees.

According to Coinglass data, if ETH breaks through $1,975, the cumulative short liquidation intensity on mainstream CEX will reach $788 million. Conversely, if ETH falls below $1,791, the cumulative long liquidation intensity on mainstream CEX will reach $697 million.

According to Coinglass data, if BTC breaks through $66,499, the cumulative short liquidation intensity on major CEXs will reach $1.273 billion. Conversely, if BTC falls below $60,389, the cumulative long liquidation intensity on major CEXs will reach $1.033 billion.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the prediction market Polymarket for the event "National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs. Brandon Nakashima," the "over" option for the sub-market "National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs. Brandon Nakashima Total Games in the Second Set Greater than 10.5" has experienced significant fluctuations in winning probability, soaring from 27% an hour ago to the current 42.5% (a fluctuation of 15.5%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to Coinglass data, if ETH breaks through $1,968, the cumulative short liquidation intensity on mainstream CEX will reach $846 million. Conversely, if ETH falls below $1,788, the cumulative long liquidation intensity on mainstream CEX will reach $727 million.

According to Forbes, AI data infrastructure company Databricks announced the completion of a $5 billion strategic financing round, led by Coatue, with participation from Blackstone, MGX, and T. Rowe Price. Sixth Street Growth joined as a new investor, bringing the post-financing valuation of the company to $190 billion, higher than the previously disclosed valuation plan of $188 billion. The funds will be used to advance AI infrastructure layout, product development, and potential acquisitions.Databricks co-founder and CEO Ali Ghodsi stated that the company's current annual revenue run rate has exceeded $7 billion, with a year-on-year growth of over 80%. In terms of AI Agent infrastructure, Databricks believes that the scale of AI-generated software will significantly increase in the future, and each AI application will require database support.

AI Economic Settlement Agreement AEON announced its integration with Colombia's national instant payment system Bre - B, allowing users to complete payments using cryptocurrency through the Bre - B standard QR code, while merchants receive payments in Colombian pesos (COP). AEON has supported over 50 million merchants globally, and this integration further extends the AI settlement network into the local payment systems of Latin America, providing the infrastructure support for AI and AI Agents to access real commercial scenarios and complete transactions and fiat currency settlements through local payment networks.

Brazilian Bitcoin treasury company OranjeBTC (B3: OBTC3) announced the launch of the Digital Yield ETF (DIGY11), which is created in collaboration with 3R Investimentos and MarketVector, and is expected to be listed on the Brazilian Stock Exchange B3 in early September.DIGY11 will initially invest in preferred shares issued by Strategy through STRC and preferred shares issued by Strive through SATA, distributing returns to investors in Brazilian reais on a monthly basis while providing daily liquidity and currency hedging. Under current market conditions, DIGY11 is expected to provide an annualized distribution yield equivalent to CDI plus approximately 3% to 5%, but this estimate does not include fluctuations in the fund share price and does not constitute a guarantee of returns. This ETF does not directly invest in Bitcoin but provides Brazilian investors with a localized channel to access USD returns and exposure to Bitcoin ecosystem assets by holding preferred shares related to Bitcoin treasury companies.

According to Lookonchain monitoring, Machi (@machibigbrother) withdrew 1,540 USDC from Binance and sold Bored Ape #5715 for 8.3 ETH (worth $15,600).This NFT was purchased by him 3 years ago for 34.17 ETH. Machi currently holds 2,800 ETH long positions, valued at $5,300,000, with a liquidation price of $1,863.08.

According to Gate market data, the stock price of artificial intelligence chip manufacturer Cerebras Systems fell by 17.3% in pre-market trading due to second-quarter revenue not meeting market expectations.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction market for the event "Bitcoin breaks on August 13," the "Yes" option in the sub-market "64,000" has experienced significant fluctuations in winning probability, soaring from 27.5% an hour ago to the current 48% (a fluctuation of 20.5%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

Trader Murphy (@Murphychen888) posted on the X platform that the realized price for Bitcoin short-term holders (holding period < 3m) is currently about $67,900. Since June 20, BTC has been continuously suppressed after rebounding close to this cost line, and it has been nearly 2 months now. Meanwhile, the slope of this cost curve has approached zero, indicating that the related chip turnover activity continues to decline.Analysis points out that a similar situation occurred at the end of the bear markets in 2018 and 2022, when BTC was suppressed by the < 3m realized price for about 3 consecutive months, followed by severe fluctuations due to the BCH hash war and the FTX incident, respectively. Continuous suppression by this cost line may reflect that the market is in a structurally weak equilibrium state, and any external force could break this weak equilibrium.

According to Coinglass data, if ETH breaks through $1,980, the cumulative short liquidation intensity on mainstream CEX will reach $859 million. Conversely, if ETH falls below $1,798, the cumulative long liquidation intensity on mainstream CEX will reach $669 million.

According to Coinglass data, if BTC breaks through $66,745, the cumulative short liquidation intensity on mainstream CEX will reach $1.388 billion. Conversely, if BTC falls below $60,739, the cumulative long liquidation intensity on mainstream CEX will reach $1.229 billion.