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According to Polymarket data, in the "Next CEO of NVIDIA" prediction market, the probability of the "No Change" option for Jensen Huang has risen from 19% earlier today to 29%, ranking first. NVIDIA's Vice President of High-Performance Computing Ian Buck has dropped to second place with 25%, while Chief Financial Officer Colette Kress ranks third with 23.3%.According to the rules, "No Change" means that NVIDIA has not announced an official successor before 23:59 Eastern Time on December 31, 2028, and interim CEOs do not count. Therefore, even if Jensen Huang steps down, as long as NVIDIA appoints only an interim CEO within the deadline, this option can still prevail. The 29% is the implied probability of "no official successor announced," not the probability of Jensen Huang staying on in the short term.

According to Cointelegraph, the market believes there is a 100% probability that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates in December. CME FedWatch data shows a 90.8% probability of a 25 basis point increase and a 9.2% probability of a 50 basis point increase. The total of these two probabilities adds up to 100%, corresponding to the market's pricing outcome for the interest rate hike in December.

On the prediction market platform Polymarket, the market regarding whether NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang will announce his resignation or be dismissed before a specific date showed that the probability once rose to about 91%, but has now fallen to 78%.As of the time of publication, the total trading volume of this series of markets is approximately $15.25 million. Pricing by different deadlines: about 59% for November 12, about 63% for November 13, about 74% for November 30, about 78% for December 31; about 82% for March 31, 2027, and about 86% for December 31, 2027.

According to Polymarket data, in the market "Who will be the next CEO of NVIDIA?", the current NVIDIA Vice President of Large Scale and High Performance Computing Ian Buck is currently in the lead with a 30% probability, followed by NVIDIA Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Colette Kress at 21%, and the probability of Jensen Huang remaining the current CEO is 19%.Among the other options, Arm Holdings CEO Rene Haas currently has an 11% probability, NVIDIA Executive Vice President and Global Field Operations Head Jay Puri has 9%, AMD Chair and CEO Lisa Su has 3%, and NVIDIA Senior Director of Product and Technology Marketing for Physical AI Platform Madison Huang has 2%.

Derive option pricing shows that the probability of Bitcoin closing below $70,000 on Christmas has risen from 15% last week to 31%.

Alibaba announced that the new generation of the Qwen large model, Qwen4, has begun open testing, with the flagship preview version Qwen4-Max launched. This model has been integrated with Alibaba's Token Plan, Qwen Office, Qoder, Qwen App, and QwenStudio.This generation focuses on upgrading complex programming, front-end design, and agent capabilities. Alibaba also emphasizes professional office and software operations, hoping the model can autonomously use tools and complete multi-step tasks.Qwen4 has been in a warm-up phase for several months. In September of this year, Alibaba announced that the Qwen4 based on the new architecture is in training. The earlier released Qwen3.8-Flash-Next has already opened an experimental version of the new architecture. According to the previously showcased product plan, the Qwen4 series also includes Flash, Plus, and a 27B version aimed at local deployment.

Alibaba Group (09988.HK) announced on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange that the Hong Kong Stock Exchange has confirmed that the company can proceed with the proposed spin-off. Therefore, on September 11, 2026, Pingtouge submitted a listing application form (Form A1) to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange in a confidential manner, seeking approval for the listing and trading of Pingtouge's H shares on the main board of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.The proposed spin-off is intended to be conducted through a global offering of H shares, including a public offering in Hong Kong and a placement to institutional and professional investors. After the proposed spin-off is completed, it is expected that Pingtouge will continue to be a subsidiary of the company. The proposed spin-off is subject to the approval of the Listing Committee of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, the completion of the filing with the China Securities Regulatory Commission, and the final decision made by the company and Pingtouge.Therefore, shareholders and potential investors of the company are advised to act cautiously when buying or investing in the company's securities.

According to a report by Sina Technology citing foreign media, Alibaba's semiconductor subsidiary Tmall Genie plans to go public in Hong Kong in 2027, aiming to raise at least 2 to 3 billion USD (approximately 15.6 to 23.4 billion HKD). As of the time of publication, Alibaba has not responded officially.Tmall Genie was established in 2018, formed by the integration of Zhongtian Micro Systems acquired by Alibaba and the chip team from DAMO Academy. Its product line includes Xuantie processors, Yitian server chips, Hanguang AI chips, and PPU chips, among others. Alibaba CEO Wu Yongming previously disclosed in a financial report conference call that Tmall Genie has achieved commercialization, with chip shipments exceeding 470,000 units and annual revenue surpassing the 10 billion level.

According to Beating AI News, Alibaba has released Qianwen Office 2.0, which adds a "Trigger Task" feature. Previously, this product could only execute tasks automatically at preset times; now it can also allow AI to start processing automatically upon receiving specific messages, approvals, or pending events.For example, after the boss sends work arrangements via DingTalk, the AI can automatically organize the requests into to-do items according to pre-set rules. Users can view the execution results and can modify or turn off the rules at any time.Tasks can be executed on local computers or in the cloud. Pure cloud tasks do not rely on the computer being powered on and can continue running even after the computer is shut down.

The Alibaba Cloud Token Plan Personal Edition will significantly increase the monthly quota. The prices for the Lite, Essential, and Standard tiers remain unchanged, while the quotas will increase by approximately 74% to 78%. The Lite package priced at 39 yuan will increase its quota from 11,500 to 20,000 Credits, the Essential package priced at 79 yuan will increase from 25,500 to 45,000, and the Standard package priced at 139 yuan will increase from 45,000 to 80,000.The Pro package will also see a price reduction and an increase in quota, with the monthly fee dropping from 499 yuan to 312 yuan, and the quota increasing from 180,000 to 200,000 Credits. Calculating the subscription cost per Credit, the costs for all four packages have decreased by approximately 43%.The Token Plan is Alibaba Cloud's monthly subscription service for large models, which can connect to AI programming and agent tools such as Claude Code, Qwen Code, Qoder, and OpenClaw. Users can call different models using a unified Credits quota. The new quotas will gradually be made available to existing users and will supplement the current subscription cycle's quota. The price for existing Pro users will remain unchanged for the current cycle, with the new price taking effect from the next cycle.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, the "Sunderland vs Chelsea" event currently ranks high in trading activity on the prediction market Polymarket, with a cumulative pool size reaching 5.0753 million USD. The option with the highest market consensus is "Chelsea," corresponding to a winning probability of approximately 51.5%.

According to Jinshi Data, Hong Kong tech stocks weakened in the afternoon, with Alibaba (09988.HK) falling nearly 5%, Xiaomi Group (01810.HK) and Tencent Holdings (00700.HK) dropping over 3%, and Kuaishou (01024.HK) and JD.com (09618.HK) also following the decline.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, the "Federal Reserve December Decision" event is currently the most traded on the prediction market Polymarket, with a cumulative fund pool size reaching 150 million dollars. The option with the highest market consensus is "an interest rate hike of 25 basis points," corresponding to a winning probability of approximately 64.5%.

According to Decrypt, Bitcoin developer Matt Corallo stated on the MARA Foundation TV program that he estimates there is an 80% chance that the next soft fork of the Bitcoin network will be the "Big Consensus Cleanup" (BIP-54).This proposal was introduced in 2019 and aims to fix four long-standing vulnerabilities in Bitcoin's consensus rules, including issues related to the difficulty adjustment mechanism and denial-of-service attack vectors among miners.

According to Gelonghui, citing the China Academy of Information and Communications Technology, on November 4, a joint release of the "Self-Regulatory Convention for the Development of Intelligent Agents" was made by 20 entities including the China Academy of Information and Communications Technology, Huawei, Alibaba, Tencent, and Xiaomi.The convention mentions the construction of interconnected infrastructure for intelligent agents, co-building interoperable infrastructure, developing technologies and standards for intelligent agent registration and resolution, capability description and discovery, intent understanding and transformation, network routing and connection, resource scheduling and measurement, protocol compatibility and mutual recognition, continuously reducing the cost of cross-domain discovery and connection for intelligent agents, and supporting the interconnected collaboration of intelligent agents.The convention also mentions accelerating the empowerment of intelligent agents across various industries, adhering to serving the real economy, developing low-threshold tools for intelligent agent development and deployment, collaborating on research and development of intelligent agents aimed at real operational scenarios that create actual value, promoting the embedding of intelligent agents into existing production systems and business processes, creating benchmark applications, continuously reducing the cost of implementing intelligent agents, and assisting industries in improving quality and efficiency.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the market prediction event "Winner of the South Carolina Senate Election" on Polymarket, the "Yes" option for the sub-market "Annie Andrews (D)" has experienced a dramatic fluctuation in winning probability, soaring from 63.5% an hour ago to the current 97.9% (a fluctuation of 34.4%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to "Du Jia," Alibaba is conducting internal testing of the AI film and television creation platform "Looogen," with the slogan "Logical, Self-Produced." This product is positioned as a local agent for short drama and video production, capable of completing script breakdowns, shot design, character and scene material generation, voiceover and music production, and final editing through dialogue, while managing multi-episode material packages and on-set assets, supporting white model rehearsals and video expansion.Looogen offers a desktop client and local operation, supporting Windows and macOS (Intel/Apple dual chips), and provides the capability for private deployment and access to proprietary model channels. All creative sessions, generated materials, and final products are stored on local devices, forming a local closed loop in terms of data and copyright.The product offers two switchable operational modes: the film and television agent dialogue mode, driven by natural language commands for AI to automatically complete the entire process; and the film and television suite workstation mode, where creators can manually enter independent process modules for refined control. The internal test version is equipped with multiple models including Seedance 2.0, supporting three video ratios of 21:9, 16:9, and 9:16, as well as resolutions from 480P to 1080P. The product is still in the internal testing phase, and features and pricing may be adjusted, subject to official information.

JoAnne Bianco, Senior Investment Strategist at BondBloxx Asset Management, stated that if labor market data weakens, consumer demand slows, or financial conditions tighten, it may reduce the likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate hike in December.Current money market pricing shows a 74% probability of a 25 basis point rate hike by the Federal Reserve in December.

JPMorgan conducted a scenario analysis on four potential congressional power combinations following the U.S. midterm elections. Among them, the probability of the Democratic Party winning control of both the House and Senate is the highest at 66%; the Republican Party's chance of retaining both chambers is only 7%, but this corresponds to the largest expected increase in the S&P 500 index among the four scenarios. In the scenario where the Democratic Party controls both chambers, the S&P 500 index could drop by 0.25% or rise by 0.5%. Concerns about stricter AI regulations and restrictions on data center construction may trigger a sell-off in AI concept stocks.JPMorgan believes that even if legislation restricting the development of the AI industry is passed by Congress, it would be difficult to gather enough votes to override Trump's presidential veto. Therefore, it suggests that traders consider buying during pullbacks in tech stocks. Fiscal deficit spending may decrease, and long-term U.S. Treasury yields could face downward pressure. Some corporate executives associated with Trump's political donations may face greater risks of congressional investigations. The probability of the Democratic Party controlling the House and the Republican Party controlling the Senate is 26%, with the S&P 500 index expected to rise by 0.5% to 1%. The market may welcome the legislative stalemate brought about by the distribution of power, leading to a potential decline in long-term U.S. Treasury yields, although some companies and their leaders may still face congressional inquiries.In the scenario where the Republican Party retains both chambers, the S&P 500 index is expected to rise by 1% to 1.25%. The market would not have to immediately face new congressional regulatory risks, and the additional policy pressures on tech companies would also be relatively limited; however, fiscal deficit spending may further increase, pushing long-term U.S. Treasury yields higher, and Trump may continue military actions against Iran. The probability of the Republican Party controlling the House and the Democratic Party controlling the Senate is 1%, with the S&P 500 index expected to rise by 0.25% to 0.75%. A split Congress could lead to more intense budget battles, potentially resulting in a federal government shutdown, and the Democratic Party could still conduct congressional investigations after gaining control of the Senate.