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According to Jinshi reports, CME's "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 70.1%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 29.9%. By September, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged drops to 37.2%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points rises to 48.8%, and the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 50 basis points is 14.1%.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the market prediction event "2026 Wimbledon Men's Singles Champion" on Polymarket, the "Yes" option for the sub-market "Jannik Sinner" has experienced a dramatic fluctuation in win probability, dropping from 58% an hour ago to the current 43% (a fluctuation of 15%). Please note the impact of relevant breaking news.

According to Bitcoin Magazine, Galaxy Research has lowered the probability of the passage of the CLARITY Act in 2026 from 60% three weeks ago to 50%, due to the increasingly tight Senate schedule, the lack of a published merged text for the bill, no scheduled votes, and no public commitment from leadership. The bill has been listed as item 423 on the legislative calendar since it passed the Senate Banking Committee on May 14 with a vote of 15-9, but no motion to advance it has been scheduled to date.The report indicates that the Senate must announce a schedule by early July to complete voting before the August recess; otherwise, it will be postponed until September, when the upcoming midterm elections will make controversial votes harder to arrange. Priority legislation such as FISA Section 702 and the NDAA occupies a significant amount of time, and Trump's veto of the housing bill further exacerbates scheduling pressures.The substantive content of the bill has not yet been fully resolved, and ethical provisions remain a core controversy, with at least two Republican senators expected to vote against it, making Democratic support essential. The report suggests that if leadership clarifies a commitment to vote in July within the next two weeks, the probability of passage will rise to 60% or higher; if there is continued lack of progress, it will be further lowered.

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 69.5%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 30.5%. By September, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged drops to 40.4%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points rises to 46.9%, and the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 50 basis points is 12.8%.

According to Cointelegraph, Swan CEO Cory Klippsten believes that the probability of Bitcoin reaching an all-time high in 2026 is only 10% to 15%.Cory Klippsten stated that some truly exogenous events must occur, and he believes that currently, it is unknown what events could cause the price of Bitcoin to double within the next six months.

The probability of the prediction "Bitcoin will drop to $50,000 this year" on the prediction market platform Polymarket has risen to 63% (from 51% on June 16).In addition, the probability of dropping to $40,000 is 30%, and the probability of rising to $70,000 is 67%.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the "World Cup Knockout Stage" event on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option for the sub-market "Ecuador" has experienced a dramatic fluctuation in winning probability, soaring from 23.5% an hour ago to the current 77.5% (a fluctuation of 54%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 65.8%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 34.2%. By September, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 32%, the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 50.5%, and the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 50 basis points is 17.6%.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the "World Cup Knockout Stage" event on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option for the sub-market "Scotland" has experienced a dramatic fluctuation in winning probability, soaring from 33.5% an hour ago to the current 52.5% (a fluctuation of 19%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 65.8%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 34.2%. By September, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged drops to 33.6%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points rises to 49.7%, and the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 50 basis points is 16.7%.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the "World Cup Knockout Stage Prediction" event on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option for the sub-market "Bosnia" has experienced a dramatic fluctuation in winning probability, soaring from 70% an hour ago to the current 97.5% (a fluctuation of 27.5%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

South Korean memory chip giant SK Hynix plans to raise up to 45 trillion won (approximately 29 billion USD) by issuing American Depositary Receipts (ADRs) in New York, with the related transaction set to start in July. If successful, this financing scale will surpass Alibaba's 25 billion USD IPO in 2014, becoming one of the largest overseas equity financing projects in the history of South Korean companies, and approaching historical records in the global capital market.According to the plan, SK Hynix will first issue shares in South Korea, then deposit the relevant shares into a South Korean securities depository as the underlying securities for the ADRs. South Korean regulators are expected to complete the review by July 3. The raised funds will primarily be used for the construction of the Yongin semiconductor cluster in South Korea and a factory in Indiana, USA, as well as the purchase of EUV extreme ultraviolet lithography equipment to support the expansion of advanced storage capacity related to AI. Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, and Bank of America have been selected as the lead underwriters.SK Hynix's confidence in this U.S. financing stems from its strong position in the AI industry chain. As a leading company in the global high bandwidth memory (HBM) sector, the company is a core supplier of AI accelerator chips for NVIDIA. Driven by AI demand, its stock price has increased by over 300% this year. CEO Lee Seok-hee stated that the company hopes to leverage the U.S. capital market to enhance its global influence and achieve a valuation level comparable to other AI hardware companies.

According to Jinshi News, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 62.6%, while the probability of a cumulative increase of 25 basis points is 37.4%. By September, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 29.8%, the probability of a cumulative increase of 25 basis points is 50.6%, and the probability of a cumulative increase of 50 basis points is 19.6%.

According to a report by Cai Lian She, AI company MiniMax (0100.HK) will see the first batch of shares unlocked after its Hong Kong stock listing on July 9, 2026. Before this date, its two core strategic investors, Alibaba and miHoYo, have both expressed their long-term optimism about the general artificial intelligence industry and MiniMax's development prospects, stating they will continue to accompany the company's growth and deepen ecological collaboration in areas such as cloud computing and enterprise services.It is reported that the founding team of MiniMax had previously voluntarily set a lock-up period of 12 months, so this first batch of unlocks does not involve the founding team or employee stock holdings. Public information shows that MiniMax was listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange in January this year, with a global user base of approximately 300 million and over 1 million enterprise and developer clients. The company released its new generation flagship model M3 this month and officially launched the IPO counseling process for the A-share Sci-Tech Innovation Board in May.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the "World Cup Knockout Stage Prediction" event on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option for the sub-market "Senegal" has experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, dropping from 70.5% an hour ago to the current 46% (a fluctuation of 24.5%). Please note the impact of relevant breaking news.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the predicted market event "New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers" on Polymarket, the option "Detroit Tigers" in the sub-market "Spread -2.5" experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, plummeting from 60.5% an hour ago to the current 10.5% (a fluctuation of 50%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 63.7%, while the probability of a cumulative increase of 25 basis points is 36.3%. By September, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 26.1%, the probability of a cumulative increase of 25 basis points is 52.2%, and the probability of a cumulative increase of 50 basis points is 21.4%.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the "Leadership Change Before 2027" event on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option for the sub-market "Starmer - Prime Minister of the UK" has experienced significant fluctuations, rising from 28.5% an hour ago to the current 43.5% (a fluctuation of 15%). Please note the impact of relevant breaking news.

According to Jinshi reports, the CME "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 61.5%, while the probability of a cumulative increase of 25 basis points is 38.5%. By September, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged drops to 24.9%, the probability of a cumulative increase of 25 basis points rises to 52.2%, and the probability of a cumulative increase of 50 basis points is 22.9%.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the predicted market event "Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays" on Polymarket, the option "Washington Nationals" in the sub-market "Spread -1.5" experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, plummeting from 30.5% an hour ago to the current 11.5% (a fluctuation of 19%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.