Analysis: Bitcoin is still in the standard "four-year cycle," and $53,000 may be an important support level

Trader Bob Loukas stated that Bitcoin is still in a "very standard four-year cycle," and the current price trend is not significantly different from previous cycles. Many people say "this time is different," but he believes this round of the Bitcoin cycle still fits the typical four-year cycle framework. He pointed out that the current cycle has entered week 44, and the cycle low window usually appears around week 46 within a time range of about 10%.

Loukas mentioned that the midpoint of the past four-year cycles was around $53,000, which could become an important support and resistance level, and may serve as a potential buying position near the bear market low. He also stated that Bitcoin's price may re-enter the price discovery phase in 2028.

QCP Capital stated in their latest market report on Monday that BTC is currently in a narrow psychological range, with buying interest around $60,000, but the options market remains defensively positioned, and macro risks are still affecting market sentiment.