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Predict.fun has a new update: "Which blockchain will Polymarket migrate to in 2026?" The probability of the "new Polymarket chain" is currently reported at 67%

2026-05-08 15:42:17
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According to the CatcherPredict channel, the prediction market Predict.fun has launched the prediction event "Which blockchain will Polymarket migrate to in 2026?" with a total transaction volume reaching $1.701 million.

Among them, the probability of "new Polymarket chain" migration is currently reported at 67%; the probability of "not migrating in 2026" is currently reported at 26%; the probability for Arbitrum is currently reported at 2%; and the probabilities for Avalanche, Base, MegaETH, Monad, Solana, BNB Chain, and other chains are currently reported at 1%.

The settlement source for this event is the official announcement of the migration from Polymarket (press release, Shayne Coplan, or official X account), non-test transactions occurring on the new chain, and the underlying L1 not being Polygon. If the migration is not completed by December 31, 2026, at 23:59 (ET), the resolution will be "not migrating in 2026."

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