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According to Gate market data, the Dow Jones Industrial Average opened down 365.52 points on September 28, a decrease of 0.71%, closing at 51,463.1 points; the S&P 500 opened down 35.72 points, a decrease of 0.46%, closing at 7,707.78 points; the Nasdaq Composite opened down 133.02 points, a decrease of 0.49%, closing at 26,935.7 points.

Fidelity Investments Global Macro Director Jurrien Timmer posted on X, discussing Bitcoin prices and the power law model.Jurrien Timmer stated: The power law mathematics of Bitcoin continues to indicate that after holding the $60,000 level, a new cyclical bull market is unfolding, with a target of reaching $300,000 by 2029.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, the probability of the "Yes" option in the sub-market "Cardinals win by 25+ points" for the event "Cardinals vs. 49ers" on the prediction market Polymarket has experienced a sharp fluctuation, dropping from 49.5% an hour ago to the current 15.5% (a fluctuation of 34%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to Gate market data, ChainCatcher reports: The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down 161.31 points on September 24 (Thursday), a decrease of 0.31%, at 51,350.28 points; the S&P 500 index fell 1.67 points, a decrease of 0.02%, at 7,704.36 points; the Nasdaq Composite Index rose 3.34 points, an increase of 0.01%, at 26,939.37 points.

According to The Block, the Solana Foundation announced the appointment of Rachel Conlan as Chief Strategy Officer and Jamal Raees as General Manager of Payment Business to expand institutional adoption and payment operations. Conlan previously worked at Binance for three years and held senior management positions at companies such as OKX; Raees comes from Polygon Labs and will be responsible for collaborating with payment companies, enterprises, and ecosystem partners to promote Solana as a global payment infrastructure.The Solana Foundation stated that this year, Solana's stablecoin trading volume has exceeded $50 trillion, the on-chain real-world assets (RWA) scale has surpassed $4.5 billion, and the supply of tokenized stocks has exceeded $620 million.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the Polymarket event "Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty," the "Yes" option for the sub-market "Jordin Canada: Points O/U 9.5" has experienced a dramatic fluctuation in winning probability, soaring from 40.5% an hour ago to the current 55.5% (a fluctuation of 15%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

Bitcoin Magazine released a video interview where Jim Bianco, founder of Bianco Research, stated that the bond market signaled over two years ago before the Federal Reserve's first interest rate hike in more than three years. He pointed out that during the previous rate-cutting cycle of the Federal Reserve, the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury rose from 3.7% to 5%, marking the first time in over 50 years that the long-end yield increased while the Federal Reserve was cutting rates.In his discussion with Grace Remington and Sean Hagan, Bianco also mentioned that the Federal Reserve's decision on October 28 (one week before the midterm elections) is more significant than Wall Street expects. He refuted the "devaluation trade" narrative and discussed what Bitcoin needs to demonstrate, including development activity and the DeFi summer. He believes that the construction of Bitcoin ETFs has missed the point and stated that Tether has effectively become a circulating currency in Venezuela and Afghanistan.Additionally, Bianco talked about stablecoins and the GENIUS Act, real demand for government bonds, and the post-pandemic economy, while criticizing Federal Reserve Chairman Powell. He noted the existence of multiple wars and "safe haven" logic and referenced the "Fourth Turning" theory to analyze the current macro cycle.

According to Gate market data, the Dow Jones Index opened on September 21 with an increase of 316.93 points, a rise of 0.61%, reporting at 51,999.57 points; the Nasdaq Composite Index opened with an increase of 209.78 points, a rise of 0.79%, reporting at 26,732.33 points; the S&P 500 Index opened with an increase of 45.51 points, a rise of 0.59%, reporting at 7,695.63 points.

Michael Saylor posted on the X platform stating that under the assumptions of a 10% annual return on Bitcoin, a 40% volatility of Bitcoin, and a Bitcoin price of $81,200, the duration of the dollar is 3.8 years, and the Bitcoin credit spread of STRC is 53 basis points.

The decentralized AI infrastructure project DGrid AI announced that its community-driven AI model evaluation platform DGrid AI Arena has launched the Points-to-$DGAI redemption mechanism. Users can earn points by participating in AI model evaluations and redeem them for $DGAI, further connecting user participation, model feedback, and ecological incentives.It is reported that since its launch, DGrid AI Arena has attracted over 570,000 users to participate in reviews, generating more than 2.5 million model evaluation votes. The platform employs an anonymous model battle mechanism, where users compare two sets of AI outputs and choose the better response, continuously accumulating evaluation data from real scenarios.DGrid stated that AI Arena is not only a model evaluation and community incentive platform but also the community intelligence layer within the DGrid AI ecosystem. By continuously gathering real user preference signals across different tasks, the platform can more accurately understand the performance of different models in specific scenarios, further optimizing model selection and routing mechanisms, making AI services more aligned with real user needs.Previously, DGrid AI's native token $DGAI has been listed on Binance Alpha and several exchanges such as OKX and Bybit, further promoting the ecological application and community participation of $DGAI.

Famous analyst Willy Woo uses the Fisher Transform indicator to analyze BTC monthly charts, pointing out that the current golden cross appearing under this indicator is the fourth bottom signal in history, with the previous three not showing false breakouts. However, Willy Woo emphasizes that this is not an immediate reversal buy signal; the price may first consolidate before continuing in the original direction. In bull markets, there have also been instances where the Fisher indicator showed a death cross indicating bearishness, followed by a golden cross indicating bullishness, yet the market did not end.Willy Woo views tops and bottoms separately: at the top, long-term investors retreat from buying, while speculative trading continues to push prices higher. The market relies on momentum to continue rising but lacks substantial long-term support, leading to frequent false turning points. Therefore, his approach is to reduce positions in batches rather than predict an exact major top. At the bottom, the decline creates a vacuum in buying, and speculative trading exits. When prices drop to levels that investors consider valuable, buying re-enters, and at this point, speculative trading is scarce, making reversals cleaner. Thus, many indicators are clearer at the bottom than at the top.

On Friday, the Bank of Japan raised interest rates by 25 basis points as the market expected. After the announcement of the rate hike decision, the Japanese yen weakened against the US dollar and Bitcoin. The price of Bitcoin, priced in US dollars, remained basically stable.

CoinDesk reported that Goldman Sachs predicts the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 25 basis points in October, citing the central bank's own recent hawkish rate forecasts.

The Federal Reserve's FOMC unanimously decided to raise interest rates by 25 basis points, adjusting the target range for the federal funds rate to 3.75% - 4%, marking the first rate hike since July 2023. The latest dot plot shows that 16 officials expect at least one more rate hike by 2026, with the median rate expectations for 2027 and 2026 both at 4.1%.Federal Reserve Chairman Waller stated that recent data shows the U.S. economy is performing strongly, and the labor market remains resilient, but inflation is too high and has persisted for too long. The FOMC is currently not confident that inflation is moving toward the 2% target. He mentioned that the main issue for the current economy is not growth, but inflation. Waller also noted that the rise in U.S. Treasury yields is primarily driven by a strong U.S. economy, increased capital competition, and geopolitical factors.From the announcement of the decision to Waller's press conference, spot gold briefly fell by about $100, the U.S. dollar index rose by about 40 points and broke through the 100 mark, the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield rose by about 10 basis points, and the 10-year yield rose by about 5 basis points, with U.S. stocks turning lower across the board. Interest rate futures are currently pricing in an additional rate hike of about 33 basis points this year and expect a cumulative increase of about 75 basis points by June next year.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the event of the "Federal Reserve's October Decision" on the Polymarket, the "Yes" option for the sub-market "25 Basis Points Increase" has experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, soaring from 30.5% an hour ago to the current 48% (a fluctuation of 17.5%). Please note the impact of relevant breaking news.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring on-chain data, significant capital movements are predicted in the Polymarket market. A large whale invested $175,824.35 in a single transaction regarding the "Federal Reserve's September decision" event, targeting a "25 basis point interest rate hike." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this subject is 88%.

The Solana lending protocol Kamino announced the appointment of Michael Weisz (@WeiszM) as the new CEO.Kamino stated that Weisz has over twenty years of experience in fintech and private markets, and will lead the company into the next phase of institutional growth while expanding into the U.S. market.

Kohlberg Kravis Roberts Jason Thomas stated that the Federal Reserve's implementation of a 25 basis point interest rate hike is under "great pressure."