match

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event "Côte d'Ivoire vs Norway Match Prediction" on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option in the sub-market "Will the match go to a penalty shootout" experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, soaring from 28.5% an hour ago to the current 48% (a fluctuation of 19.5%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the "Netherlands vs. Morocco more markets" event on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option for the sub-market "Will the match go to a penalty shootout" experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, dropping from 50% an hour ago to the current 16% (a fluctuation of 34%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to ChainCatch news, as per official information, on June 28, 2026, the Gate DEX "World Cup Oracle" event page officially launched, coinciding with the conclusion of the World Cup group stage and the full start of the knockout stage. In addition to daily prediction gameplay, the page also aggregates three major Gate exclusive data highlights.The first is the "Single Match Profit Ranking Live," which updates the top 3 profit addresses for each match in real-time after the game ends, clearly showing the principal, profit, and multiple. For example, on June 28, in the match where Croatia defeated Ghana 2-1, the top profit address reached +$137.61 million; matches like Colombia vs. Portugal and Panama vs. England also produced multiple high-profit addresses. The second is "Expert Prediction Holdings," where the platform selects "prediction experts" for each team in this World Cup—specifically, on-chain smart money addresses with more than 2 related match events, a win rate greater than 60%, and profits exceeding $5000—and displays their betting direction for the current match, allowing users to intuitively reference expert judgments. The third is "World Cup Smart Money Holdings," which compiles addresses that have continuously bet profitably during this World Cup, aggregating their betting situations for user reference.Users can connect directly with a Web3 wallet or Gate TEE quick wallet with one click, referencing the judgment ideas of on-chain smart money to participate in daily match predictions.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the market prediction event on Polymarket for "Dota 2: L1ga Team vs 4ikibamboni - International Europe Closed Qualifiers Playoffs," the "Total Kills Exceeding 45.5 in the First Game" sub-market's "Exceeding" option win rate has experienced significant fluctuations, soaring from 50% an hour ago to the current 95.5% (a fluctuation of 45.5%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

CoinUp stated that there has been some discussion about the platform in recent market and social media, where certain KOLs have made statements such as "running away" and "difficulty in withdrawing funds" that are inconsistent with the facts and contain misleading interpretations.CoinUp specifically clarifies that the individual mentioned online, Zhu Pan, is not the operator of the platform and does not participate in the core operations, asset custody, or risk control decisions of the platform. His personal rumors should not be confused with the platform itself.In response to market concerns regarding the withdrawal situation, CoinUp emphasizes that the platform's withdrawal function is operating normally, and the account system, wallet system, and asset custody are all in a safe and controllable state. User recharge, withdrawal, and trading functions have not been affected.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event "Dota 2 OG vs Grind Back Southeast Asia Qualifiers" on the prediction market Polymarket, the win probability for the sub-market "Match Winner" for the option "OG" has experienced significant fluctuations, rising from 59.5% an hour ago to the current 84.5% (a fluctuation of 25%). Please note the impact of relevant breaking news.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the Polymarket market. A large whale invested $135,161.09 in a single bet on the "Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Playoffs" event, targeting the "Match Winner." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding win rate for this bet is 88%.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the predicted market Polymarket for the event "Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - IEM Cologne Playoffs," the "Match Winner" sub-market option "Aurora Gaming" has experienced drastic fluctuations in winning probability, plummeting from 40.5% an hour ago to the current 17.5% (a fluctuation of 23%). Please note the impact of relevant breaking news.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the market Polymarket. A large whale sold $54,399.99 on the "Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - IEM Cologne" event, targeting the "Match Winner." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding win rate for this item is 68%.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event "LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Asia Masters Playoffs" on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Match Winner" sub-market option "T1 Academy" has experienced a dramatic fluctuation in win rate, dropping from 69.5% an hour ago to the current 28.5% (a fluctuation of 41%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the predicted market event "Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - IEM Cologne Playoffs" on Polymarket, the "FURIA" option in the sub-market "Match Winner" has experienced a drastic fluctuation in win rate, plummeting from 65.5% an hour ago to the current 34% (a fluctuation of 31.5%). Please note the impact of relevant breaking news.

According to ChainCatcher, all group stage matches of the World Cup have concluded. In today's final four matches, Portugal drew 1-1 with the Democratic Republic of the Congo, England defeated Croatia 4-2, Ghana won against Panama 1-0, and Colombia triumphed over Uzbekistan 3-1.From the overall performance of the first round, this World Cup has seen multiple instances where high-probability predictions before the matches did not materialize. Several popular teams were held to draws, and predictions that were considered "high probability" by the market ultimately resulted in losses, leaving many users with one-sided positions facing unexpected losses. For users in the prediction market, the first round of the World Cup once again proved that high probability does not equal low risk, and one-sided positions require hedging tools.Base's native leveraged prediction market OmenX has recently launched a new Hedge to Earn initiative, with the first phase open to Polymarket position holders. Users can receive corresponding hedging position rewards on OmenX, allowing them to add a layer of risk protection to existing predictions at a lower capital cost, and manage their positions more flexibly in the event of popular outcomes failing, significant market fluctuations, or last-minute trend reversals.OmenX stated that Hedge to Earn is a new growth initiative launched by the platform around leveraged prediction markets, aimed at helping users transition from "one-sided predictions" to "position management." The initiative is currently ongoing, and users can hedge, adjust positions, and manage risks on OmenX regarding World Cup outcomes, championship titles, and popular sports events.

Crypto KOL Ansem posted on platform X, stating that the market may significantly underestimate the upward elasticity brought by the supply-demand mismatch of SpaceX's circulating stock, and believes that the current consensus bearish sentiment may lead to more short squeezes. SpaceX has now become the top stock ranked by both trading volume and options trading, but the market has a shortsighted understanding of its business progress in diversification (including AI and other verticals), overly focusing on current revenue performance. This structural cognitive bias may drive the company to challenge the global market value ranking by the end of this year.However, Ansem cautioned investors that the share lock-up period for SpaceX in August may become a phase "local top" triggering factor.

According to analysis by BlockSec Phalcon (@Phalcon_xyz), the RollupProcessorV3 contract of Aztec Network was attacked, resulting in losses exceeding $2.15 million. The root cause was that numRealTxs was not effectively bound to the transaction set enforced by the ZK proof, leading to discrepancies in the proof verification path and the L1 settlement logic's interpretation of the transaction list.The attacker exploited this vulnerability to move real deposits to slots not processed by the settlement logic, bypassing the decreasePendingDepositBalance() function, creating unsecured private balances out of thin air, and then withdrawing through the normal settlement process, involving a total of seven assets.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the predicted market Polymarket for the event "Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3", the "Match Winner" option for "Natus Vincere" has experienced significant fluctuations in win probability, soaring from 58.5% an hour ago to the current 90.5% (a fluctuation of 32%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the predicted market Polymarket for the event "Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports," the "MOUZ" option in the sub-market "Match Winner" has experienced severe fluctuations in winning probability, dropping from 46% an hour ago to the current 17.5% (a fluctuation of 28.5%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the predicted market Polymarket for the event "Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3," the option "Spirit" in the sub-market "Match Winner" has experienced a dramatic fluctuation in winning probability, dropping from 92.5% an hour ago to the current 67.5% (a fluctuation of 25%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the predicted market Polymarket for the event "Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs. Legacy," the win rate of the "Over" option in the sub-market "O/U 2.5 matches" has experienced significant fluctuations, soaring from 33.5% an hour ago to the current 50.5% (a fluctuation of 17%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the predicted market Polymarket for the event "Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3", the "Match Winner" sub-market option "Vitality" has experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, dropping from 92.5% an hour ago to the current 68.5% (a fluctuation of 24%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the predicted market Polymarket for the event "Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3", the "Match Winner" sub-market option "Team Falcons" has experienced a sharp fluctuation in win rate, dropping from 90.5% an hour ago to the current 68.5% (a fluctuation of 22%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.