Kalshi and Polymarket's cryptocurrency event contracts reached a record weekly trading volume of 2.7 billion USD, with 15-minute BTC price predictions becoming a new hotspot

According to Dune data, the nominal trading volume of cryptocurrency-related event contracts on Kalshi and Polymarket reached $2.7 billion last week, setting a new historical high. Among them, Bitcoin short-term fluctuation contracts were particularly active, with Kalshi's 15-minute Bitcoin price prediction contracts seeing single transaction volumes exceeding $1 million. Some traders even used trading bots to seize opportunities just seconds before the contracts expired.

Currently, cryptocurrency has become the second largest trading category on the two platforms, second only to sports. Cryptocurrency trading platforms such as Coinbase, Crypto.com, Gemini, and Kraken are expanding their businesses by applying for relevant licenses or collaborating with prediction markets. Meanwhile, the decline in spot trading volume on centralized exchanges has also prompted crypto platforms to seek business diversification. However, as multiple states in the U.S. have raised legal challenges against sports prediction contracts, the direction of related regulations may also impact industry development.