Analysis: Robinhood's popular meme only 41% of wallets are profitable

On-chain data analyst obchakevich_ stated that after analyzing the meme coin holdings on Robinhood Crypto, it was found that only a few wallets are in profit. The nine most popular meme coins cover 373,000 independent wallets and 540,000 positions, while there are another 160,000 positions for random tokens on four launchpads.

Among the popular targets, only 41% of wallets show a positive balance, with none of the groups reaching half. Among random tokens, Noxa is at 36.7%, Doppler at 33.2%, and Pons V1 at 14.7%. Typical buyers of well-known memes have lost 1.7%, while typical buyers of random Pons V1 tokens have lost 67%. Among 355 random tokens held by at least 10 buyers, only 5 have made most buyers profitable, accounting for 1.4%.

Tokens leaving the joint curve to enter the liquidity pool do not equate to becoming popular targets. 2% of the issuance on Pons V2 has reached this stage, with 36% of positions being positive. Positions that were bought and sold only once have about one-third in profit, while 59% of positions with 51 to 200 transactions are positive. Positions with no less than 11 transactions account for 14%, contributing to 89% of realized profits, which is $165 million out of $185 million. The statistics were compiled using Dune queries, covering the period from June 1, 2026, to October 8, 2026, with a starting position of $10, and identifying traders based on token flow.