Catcher Predict: "Israel and Iran ceasefire continues" "August 9" win rate plummets 19.5%

2026-08-01 05:00:10

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event of "Israel and Iran ceasefire lasting" on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option in the sub-market "August 9" experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, dropping from 84.5% an hour ago to the current 65% (a fluctuation of 19.5%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

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Polymarket prediction market Israel and Iran ceasefire

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