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The probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 63.4%, while the probability of keeping the rates unchanged is 36.6%

2026-07-31 06:06:44

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until September is 36.6%, while the probability of a cumulative increase of 25 basis points is 63.4%. By October, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 26.9%, the probability of a cumulative increase of 25 basis points is 56.3%, and the probability of a cumulative increase of 50 basis points is 16.9%.

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