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花旗:受短债推动,美债收益率曲线料将趋陡

2025-12-15 14:50:39
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ChainCatcher 消息,花旗利率策略师在一份报告中称,受短债推动,美债收益率曲线料将趋陡。在“牛市趋陡”中,短期利率比长期利率下降得更快。策略师们在一份报告中表示:“由于失业人数增加或劳动力参与率持续反弹,失业率上升的风险越来越大,我们对 2026 年的牛市持趋陡倾向。”

因此,花旗策略师认为,市场应该已经消化了美联储今年下半年进一步降息的预期,这将使“腹部”(即曲线的中间部分)保持稳定。“在强劲的经济背景下,再加上鸽派的美联储和对供应的担忧日益加剧,收益率曲线应该会进一步趋陡。”(金十)

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