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Murphy:PSIP 低于 50% 时通常是熊市底部区域,6.2 万美元或为比特币熊底参考

2025-12-10 15:25:02
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ChainCatcher 消息,据分析师 Murphy 分析,BTC 盈利供应百分比(PSIP)曾在 11 月 22 日至 23 日跌破 65% 的“荣枯线”,表明市场情绪较为危险。目前 PSIP 已回升至 67.6%,但仍处于 65%-70% 的关键区间,向上或恢复信心,向下可能引发恐慌。

历史数据显示,当 PSIP 低于 50% 时通常是熊市底部区域。此前预测 BTC 需跌至 5.9 万美元以下才能达到该水平,而最新估算已调整至 6.2 万美元以下。分析认为,低于 6.2 万美元的 BTC 或为高性价比布局机会,但仍需耐心等待市场变化。

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