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机构:美国就业市场展现韧性,12 月降息预期或重新定价

2024-12-06 23:47:26
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ChainCatcher 消息,Investors Edge 市场和研究主管 John Choong 表示,在 11 月份的非农就业报告发布后,市场预测美联储本月降息的可能性超过 90%,这已经超出了市场预期。交易员似乎关注的是美国就业市场虽然没有降温,但也没有升温的迹象。但 Choong 对数据的解读不同。

他认为,11 月份的非农就业数据显示,上个月的疲软只是飓风造成的暂时现象,美国劳动力市场具有弹性。美联储需要小心地“穿针引线”,因为如果通胀仍然居高不下,他们不能过早降息。他预计降息预期将被重新定价,“因为今天数据的强劲挑战了 12 月降息的观点。”

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